{"id":70837,"date":"2024-04-19T08:00:50","date_gmt":"2024-04-19T12:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=70837"},"modified":"2024-04-18T23:30:26","modified_gmt":"2024-04-19T03:30:26","slug":"disturbing-trend-pirates-offense","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/04\/19\/disturbing-trend-pirates-offense\/","title":{"rendered":"Disturbing Trend for Pirates Offense Must End Soon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After a <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/04\/03\/pittsburgh-pirates-5-0-record\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">promising start<\/a>, the Pittsburgh Pirates are now 11-8 thanks in part to a disturbing trend that has emerged. The Pirates began the season by winning their first five games and were the third team in baseball to 10 wins. However, this week&#8217;s three-game sweep at the hands of the New York Mets has the Bucs reeling and searching for answers. Although not the only culprit, an all-too-passive approach at the plate has reared its ugly head.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s note at the start that it\u2019s too early to write off the Pirates in 2024. The schedule maker wasn\u2019t kind to the Pittsburgh club, which played 14 of its first 19 games on the road. An 11-8 record under those circumstances is not an achievement to be sneezed at. Furthermore, winning 11 of every 19 games will put the Pirates on a pace to win 94 games. Then again, the concept of pacing is valuable in horse racing but can be meaningless in team sports. At present, the Pirates offense is on a downward trend, which, while disturbing, is also correctable.<\/p>\n<h2>Disturbing Trend for Pirates Offense Must End<\/h2>\n<h3>Let&#8217;s Get Geeky and Look at Some Stats<\/h3>\n<p>After 10 games, at which point <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/04\/08\/pittsburgh-pirates-hot-start\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">they were 8-2<\/a>, the Pirates ranked fourth in the National League with 59 runs scored, fifth in batting average at .266, fourth in OBP at .352, and first in walks with 50. After 18 games, they are eighth in the NL with 92 runs scored, 10th in batting average at .244, and sixth in OBP at .332, but remain first in walks with 88. The walks had much to do with the Bucs\u2019 early success. The offense was running like a well-oiled machine. Batters 1-9 were getting on base and keeping the line moving like a merry-go-round on the base paths. Since then, however, another trend has emerged.<\/p>\n<p>Namely, the cautious approach that yielded those walks has suddenly morphed into a passivity that has resulted in a more disturbing trend, i.e., an alarming number of called third strikes against the Pirates. They\u2019ve struck out looking 56 times, leading the major leagues as of Wednesday\u2019s action. Of the strikes the Pirates have faced so far, 28.2 percent have resulted in called strikes. Only three teams have looked at a higher percentage of strikes. Moreover, the Pirates have put just 25.2 percent of the strikes they\u2019ve seen in play. That percentage is better than only three other teams.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Not that I\u2019ve been keeping track, but the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Pirates?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#Pirates<\/a> undoubtedly have to lead the Majors in strikeouts caught looking<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Jason Shetler (@Jason_Shetler) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jason_Shetler\/status\/1779279997418504222?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">April 13, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>On the positive side, the Pirates rank second in all of baseball with 3,158 pitches seen. Only the Los Angeles Dodgers have seen more pitches. However, the Dodgers have played two more games than the Pirates at this juncture.<\/p>\n<h3>RISP Management<\/h3>\n<p>This tendency to take too many strikes is hurting the Pirates in RISP (runners in scoring position) situations. At the close of Wednesday\u2019s games, the Pirates are batting .255\/.372\/.351 with RISP. The major league average is .258\/.342\/.400. Thus, one can see the Pirates are just below MLB in batting average and unacceptably below MLB in slugging percentage. (They\u2019re much better in OBP but that\u2019s not meaningful in this context.)<\/p>\n<p>One obstacle to scoring runs is the fact that the Pirates have struck out 52 times with RISP. Only two teams have struck out more in these situations, the Dodgers with 57 and the Minnesota Twins with 53. \u00a0As noted, the Dodgers have played more games than the Pirates. The Twins, at 6-11, have their own problems.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates\u2019 BABIP is .321 with RISP and .312 overall, both figures well above the MLB average. To say the Pirates can increase their team overall and RISP batting averages by cutting down on strikeouts is to state the obvious. That\u2019s true of every team. For the Pirates, however, it\u2019s the strikeouts <em>looking<\/em> that they need to address sooner rather than later. Thus far, it\u2019s looked as though the hitters are being instructed to wait for their pitch regardless of the count.<\/p>\n<h3>A Fine Line<\/h3>\n<p>How do the Pirates reverse this disturbing trend? For manager <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/managers\/sheltde99.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Derek Shelton<\/a> and hitting coach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=haines001and\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Andy Haines<\/a>, there\u2019s a fine line to be walked here. They must preach aggressiveness at swinging at pitches in the strike zone. But they don\u2019t want to give up the selectivity that has allowed the Bucs to enjoy the benefits of free passes and running up opponents\u2019 pitch counts.<\/p>\n<h3>Where Have You Gone, Corey Dickerson?<\/h3>\n<p>OK, so it doesn\u2019t have quite the same ring as the line in the <a href=\"https:\/\/simonandgarfunkel.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Simon and Garfunkel<\/a> song \u201cMrs. Robinson.\u201d However, it\u2019s where the answer may lie. During his brief season and a half with the Pirates in 2018-19, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/dickeco01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-04-18_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Corey Dickerson<\/a> was a fun and interesting hitter to watch. He had power, having hit 27 home runs for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2017. With Pittsburgh, he\u2019d look the pitches over and take his healthy cuts. But once the pitcher had two strikes on him, he was a different hitter. He\u2019d choke up on the bat a little bit for better contact and swing at anything close to the plate. As a Pirate, he had strikeout ratios well below the MLB average.<\/p>\n<p>One wonders if the Pirates teach a <a href=\"https:\/\/probaseballinsider.com\/baseball-instruction\/fundamentals-of-hitting\/two-strike-hitting\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">two-strike approach<\/a>. Do they have any video of Dickerson circa 2018 lying around? If Pirates batters continue the disturbing trend they\u2019re on now, and given the higher expectations for this season, Haines may feel his seat getting a little warm.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Photo Credit: \u00a9 John Jones-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After a promising start, the Pittsburgh Pirates are now 11-8 thanks in part to a disturbing trend that has emerged. The Pirates began the season by winning their first five games and were the third team in baseball to 10 wins. However, this week&#8217;s three-game sweep at the hands of the New York Mets has [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5010,"featured_media":70858,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[26,1071],"tags":[6323,1719,3160,92,174],"class_list":["post-70837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pirates","category-mlb","tag-andy-haines","tag-corey-dickerson","tag-derek-shelton","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-minnesota-twins"],"modified_by":"Lewis Masella, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70837","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5010"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70837"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70837\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70858"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}