{"id":60018,"date":"2023-07-31T13:00:37","date_gmt":"2023-07-31T17:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=60018"},"modified":"2023-07-31T12:12:28","modified_gmt":"2023-07-31T16:12:28","slug":"spencers-best-bets-baseball","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/31\/spencers-best-bets-baseball\/","title":{"rendered":"Spencer&#8217;s Best Bets for Baseball: July 30th"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Best Bets series is finally catching fire again! Three straight days of profit, including a full slate sweep on Friday. Let&#8217;s keep things up and close out July in style!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Merril Kelly gave us a run for our money in yesterday&#8217;s first play. By the close of the first half of the first frame, he had thrown over 40 pitches, given up two runs, and only collected one punch-out. Somehow, someway, Kelly caught fire in the next four innings. Striking out five of the remaining 16 batters he faced, he only used 50 pitches to do so\u2014a herculean effort from the wily vet. Our second main play of the day was much more stress-free. As predicted, the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/04\/19\/orioles-nationals-betting-mlb\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Baltimore Orioles<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0offense was too much for Luis Severino to handle. Tacking on seven runs in the first inning alone and cruising to a 9-3 first-five victory.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Best Bets July 31st<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Best Bets Recap: July 30th<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Day 18 Recap: 3-3-1 (+1.36u)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Kelly o5.5 Ks &amp; Total Runs u13.5 \u2705\u2705<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Orioles F5 -0.5 \u2705\u2705<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">O&#8217;Hearn 1+ RBI \u2705\u2705<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Judge 1+ RBI \u26a0\ufe0f\u26a0\ufe0f (didn&#8217;t play)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Muncy 1+ RBI \u274c\u274c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">NRFI Mariners \u274c\u274c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">HR parlay \u274c\u274c<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Best Bets Record<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Overall: 47-49-5 (+6.48U)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Yesterday: 3-3-1 (+1.36U)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On to Today&#8217;s Best Bets!<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Guardians @ Astros<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">For the first play of the day, we travel to the sovereign nation of Texas for a matchup between the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/26\/guardians-trade-amed-rosario\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Cleveland Guardians<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0and\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/11\/30\/jose-abreu-signs-with-astros\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Houston Astros<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. Cleveland&#8217;s newest signing, Noah Syndergaard, will debut and face off against the rookie J.P. France. Pretty simple formula in this one, France doesn&#8217;t strike many guys out, and the Guardians don&#8217;t strike out often.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The pick: J.P. France Under 3.5 Ks (-102) 1U<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Yordan Alvarez 1+ RBI (+110) 0.5U<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Angels @ Braves<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In today&#8217;s second play, we are rolling with the hot hand. The\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/06\/2023-angels-2021-braves\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Atlanta Braves<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0are fresh off a three-game sweep of the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/12\/02\/kolten-wong-trade-seattle\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Milwaukee Brewers<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. Each of these three games blew past the run total set for them, which was much of the offense coming in the first half. The Braves put up five, nine, and six runs on their own in the first half of their past three games. I like this trend to continue against Griffin Canning and the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/31\/angels-trade-rockies\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Los Angeles Angels<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Pick: Angles @ Braves Over 5.5 F5 Runs (-108) 1U<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Additional Best Bets<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">YRFI Parlay: Angels @ Braves &amp; Red Sox @ Mariners (+231) 0.25U<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Mastaka Yoshida &amp; Gunnar Henderson 1+ Hits (-102) 0.25U<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credits: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n<p>Players Mentioned: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kellyme01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Merrill Kelly<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/severlu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luis Severino<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/syndeno01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Noah Syndergaard<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/francjp01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">J.P. France<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/alvaryo01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Yordan Alvarez<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cannigr01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Griffin Canning<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/y\/yoshima02.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Masataka Yoshida<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/hendegu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Gunnar Henderson<\/a>,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Best Bets series is finally catching fire again! Three straight days of profit, including a full slate sweep on Friday. Let&#8217;s keep things up and close out July in style! Merril Kelly gave us a run for our money in yesterday&#8217;s first play. By the close of the first half of the first frame, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4668,"featured_media":60024,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6171,1071,1],"tags":[48,5042,1303,2688,246,6446,156,6081,76,2725],"class_list":["post-60018","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports-gambling","category-mlb","category-uncategorized","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-griffin-canning","tag-gunnar-henderson","tag-houston-astros","tag-j-p-france","tag-los-angeles-angels","tag-masataka-yoshida","tag-noah-syndergaard","tag-yordan-alvarez"],"modified_by":"Evan Mazza, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60018","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4668"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60018"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60018\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60024"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}