{"id":59879,"date":"2023-07-28T10:00:54","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T14:00:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=59879"},"modified":"2023-07-27T15:05:26","modified_gmt":"2023-07-27T19:05:26","slug":"cincinnati-reds-deadline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/28\/cincinnati-reds-deadline\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds Deadline: Is The Price Tag on Pitching Worth It?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/24\/jonathan-india-trade-market\/\" target=\"_self\">Cincinnati Reds<\/a> trade deadline is just days away, on August 1st. As we head into a weekend series with the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/26\/guardians-trade-amed-rosario\/\" target=\"_self\">Los Angeles Dodgers<\/a>, the Reds sit a game and a half out of the division lead. Furthermore, they hold a half-game lead for the third wildcard spot over <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/06\/23\/players-deserve-all-star-votes\/\" target=\"_self\">Arizona<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/06\/22\/miami-marlins-biggest-surprise\/\" target=\"_self\">Miami<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For the last month and a half, Reds fans have been begging for more pitching. As trades have already started happening across the league, we see <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/27\/trade-white-sox-angels\/\" target=\"_self\">how much pitching could cost<\/a>. A tough question the Reds, and Reds fans have to ask is, is the price tag worth it in the long run?<\/p>\n<h2>Is the Cost of Pitching Worth it To the Reds Deadline In the Long Term<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2023 has been a surprise year for Cincinnati. Just a year removed from losing 100 games, nobody predicted the Reds would be in the situation they are in. 2024 was always viewed as the year for the window to open up as far as competitiveness. Over the last two seasons, the Reds have shipped off key pieces of their organization in return for the \u201cfuture\u201d. Guys like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/grayso01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sonny Gray<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/suareeu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Eugenio Su\u00e1rez<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/winkeje01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jesse Winker<\/a>\u00a0turned into <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/fraleja01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jake Fraley<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/willibr02.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brandon Williamson<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=petty-003cha\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chase Petty<\/a>. The PTBNL in that Suarez\/Winker deal, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=philli000con\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Connor Phillips<\/a>\u00a0dominated Double-A and currently is pitching well in Triple-A.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last year\u2019s Reds trade deadline saw an abundance of prospects return to the Reds organization. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/castilu02.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luis Castillo<\/a>\u00a0was traded for top guys like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=marte-000noe\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Noelvi Marte <\/a>and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=arroyo001edw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Edwin Arroyo<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mahlety01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tyler Mahle<\/a>\u00a0cost Minnesota <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/steersp01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Spencer Steer<\/a>\u00a0and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/e\/encarch01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Christian Encarnacion<\/a>. All four of those players are now considered key pieces to the Reds&#8217; future. Steer and Strand both already are engraved to the big league roster. Marte is currently slashing .329\/.372\/.526 with a 117 wRC+ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/noelvi-marte\/sa3008745\/stats?position=SS\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">per FanGraphs<\/a> in Triple-A Louisville.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With all of the young talent the Reds have acquired the last two seasons, it would be foolish to tear that down for a deadline pitcher. Especially when the team is ahead of schedule with competing. So, if top prospects are off the table, where does the value come from with the Reds? Is there any at all?<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>What Value Do Current Reds Players Hold?<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you\u2019re active on Twitter, you\u2019ve seen countless posts of guys the Reds should trade. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/n\/newmake01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Newman<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/senzeni01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nick Senzel<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mailelu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luke Maile<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/casalcu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Curt Casali<\/a>, and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/i\/indiajo01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jonathan India<\/a>. But if you look at all of those guys, who holds value? Value, in terms of being able to get a big league return at the Reds deadline. Let\u2019s start with the catcher duo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All year long, the Reds have carried three catchers. Why? I\u2019m still not quite sure. If you were to get rid of one, flip a coin on either. What team would take them? Keep flipping that coin, because there isn\u2019t any. Between the two, they combine for a 0.0 fWAR (Casali -0.2, Maile 0.2). So yes, while it may not make sense why the Reds carry three catchers, they may be stuck with them.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kevin Newman could be a Reds deadline piece sent away, but what does he bring back? Newman is 29 and can play the left side of the infield, along with first base. He\u2019s also still in his arbitration years. But Newman is just a platoon bat. This year he\u2019s hit .304 vs lefties while just hitting .231 vs a right-handed pitcher. The Reds have played him mostly in the lineup vs a Southpaw.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nick Senzel is in a similar boat as Newman. Although he has more positional flexibility by being able to play the outfield, he still is viewed as more of a platoon guy. The former first-round pick has crushed lefties, at .333 while hitting below .200 vs righties (.188).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, Jonathan India. The hot topic point across Reds fans for the last month or so. Although many people want it, a Reds deadline deal with India involved just won\u2019t happen. The 2021 National League Rookie of the Year has struggled this year after his fast start. His .282 average through the first two months saw a massive dip in June, where he hit .202. Pair that with his below-average defensive rating, you\u2019re not going to get a solid pitcher in return.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So, what should the Reds do? There\u2019s no question about it, they need pitching help. It is good to remember though, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/greenhu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hunter Greene<\/a>\u00a0is on track to return next month. When that happens, you gain a bullpen arm with someone currently in the rotation. The Reds are above water. With 58 games left, and currently in control of a playoff spot, there isn\u2019t a need to press. The Reds&#8217; deadline may not be as active as fans hope, but that might just be a good thing for the future of the team.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Main photo credits: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n<p>Players mentioned: <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/grayso01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sonny Gray<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/suareeu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Eugenio Su\u00e1rez<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/winkeje01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jesse Winker<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/fraleja01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jake Fraley<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/willibr02.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brandon Williamson<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=philli000con\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Connor Phillips<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/castilu02.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luis Castillo<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=marte-000noe\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Noelvi Marte<\/a>, <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=arroyo001edw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Edwin Arroyo<\/a><\/span>, <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mahlety01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tyler Mahle<\/a><\/span>, <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/steersp01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Spencer Steer<\/a><\/span>, <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/e\/encarch01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Christian Encarnacion<\/a><\/span>, <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/n\/newmake01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Newman<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/senzeni01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nick Senzel<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mailelu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luke Maile<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/casalcu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Curt Casali<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/i\/indiajo01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jonathan India<\/a><\/span>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/greenhu01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hunter Greene<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Cincinnati Reds trade deadline is just days away, on August 1st. As we head into a weekend series with the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Reds sit a game and a half out of the division lead. Furthermore, they hold a half-game lead for the third wildcard spot over Arizona and Miami. For the last [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4479,"featured_media":59896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[28,2,1071],"tags":[326,4797,1277,2005,3080,92,4363,71,174,704,158],"class_list":["post-59879","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reds","category-featured","category-mlb","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-curt-casali","tag-hunter-greene","tag-jonathan-india","tag-kevin-newman","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-luke-maile","tag-miami-marlins","tag-minnesota-twins","tag-nick-senzel","tag-seattle-mariners"],"modified_by":"Evan Mazza, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59879","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4479"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59879"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59879\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59879"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59879"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59879"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}