{"id":59385,"date":"2023-07-10T12:29:10","date_gmt":"2023-07-10T16:29:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=59385"},"modified":"2023-07-10T12:29:10","modified_gmt":"2023-07-10T16:29:10","slug":"best-bets-home-run-derby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/07\/10\/best-bets-home-run-derby\/","title":{"rendered":"Spencer&#8217;s Best Bets for Baseball: Home Run Derby Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The day has finally come, our first negative day of the Best Bets series. I am certain there will be many more days like this in the second half of the season, but getting the first one out of the way is always good. With that being said, let&#8217;s take a look at how things went down.<\/p>\n<p>In our first play of the day, Patrick Corbin came out pitching like a man possessed. Striking out his first three batters faced. He then carried this form into the second and third inning, striking out five of his first eight. If I can provide two silver linings, it is that first, we didn&#8217;t have to wait around to sweat this one out, and second, Adolis Garc\u00eda drove in two runs on the day.<\/p>\n<p>In our second play of the day, things went perfectly. Logan Webb pitched an absolute gem in this one. Pitching all nine innings, allowing zero runs and collecting ten strikeouts on the day. The bats behind him didn&#8217;t perform as well as anticipated, but J.D. Davis got the job done with a solo homer in the bottom of the fourth.<\/p>\n<h2>Best Bets Home Run Derby<\/h2>\n<h3>Best Bets Recap: July 9th<\/h3>\n<p>Officials: 1-1 (-0.19U)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Patrick Corbin<\/strong> u4.5 Ks &amp; Rangers +1.5 \u274c\u274c (-1U)<br \/>\n<strong>Logan Webb<\/strong> 6+ Ks &amp; Giants +1.5 \u2705\u2705 (+0.81)<\/p>\n<p>Fun plays: 1-2 (-0.24U)<\/p>\n<p>Adolis Garc\u00eda 1+ RBI \u2705\u2705 (+0.26U)<br \/>\nAcuna Jr. 1+ Stolen Base \u274c\u274c (-0.25U)<br \/>\nNRFI Parlay \u274c\u274c (-0.25U)<\/p>\n<h4>Best Bets Record<\/h4>\n<p>Overall: 19-7-0 (+7.55U)<\/p>\n<p>Official Plays: 9-2-0 (+5.26U)<\/p>\n<p>Fun Plays: 10-5-0 (+2.28U)<\/p>\n<p>On to Today&#8217;s Best Bets!<\/p>\n<h3>MLB Home Run Derby<\/h3>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2023\/06\/08\/all-star-game-predictions\/\" target=\"_self\">MLB All-Star<\/a> break officially kicks off this evening with the highly anticipated Home Run Derby. It will be fun, with familiar faces returning from last year and fresh blood being brought into the fold. As you will see, I do have a few plays for this evening, but I will not be betting on the All-Star game tomorrow evening. Once Friday rolls around, it will be back to regularly scheduled programming.<\/p>\n<p>Be sure to pay attention to the sportsbook the play is listed under; certain plays are only available on specific books.<\/p>\n<p><strong>DraftKings:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>First Round Matchup &#8211; Mookie Betts Vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. &#8211; Mookie Betts Winner (+175) 0.25U<\/p>\n<p>Adolis Garcia HR Derby Winner (+700) 0.25U (50% profit boost available)<\/p>\n<p><strong>FanDuel:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Player to Hit the Longest Home Run: Pete Alonso (+340) 0.25U<\/p>\n<h4>New Category Unlocked<\/h4>\n<p>Degen Pick: Player to Hit the Longest Home Run: Adley Rutschman (+2500) 0.10U<\/p>\n<p>Photo Credit: \u00a9 Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n<p>Players mentioned:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/corbipa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Patrick Corbin<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/garciad02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Adolis Garc\u00eda<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/webblo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Logan Webb<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/davisjd01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">J.D. Davis<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bettsmo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mookie Betts<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/guerrvl02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/alonspe01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pete Alonso<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rutscad01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2023-07-10_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Adley Rutschman<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The day has finally come, our first negative day of the Best Bets series. I am certain there will be many more days like this in the second half of the season, but getting the first one out of the way is always good. With that being said, let&#8217;s take a look at how things [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4668,"featured_media":59389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1071,6171,2],"tags":[2657,4831,6263,3037,250,1643,2402,640],"class_list":["post-59385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","category-sports-gambling","category-featured","tag-adley-rutschman","tag-adolis-garcia","tag-jd-davis","tag-logan-webb","tag-mookie-betts","tag-patrick-corbin","tag-pete-alonso","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"],"modified_by":"Matt Graves","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4668"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59385"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59385\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}