{"id":56835,"date":"2022-10-11T07:30:49","date_gmt":"2022-10-11T11:30:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=56835"},"modified":"2022-10-11T12:46:21","modified_gmt":"2022-10-11T16:46:21","slug":"padres-mets-wild-card-no-surprise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/10\/11\/padres-mets-wild-card-no-surprise\/","title":{"rendered":"Padres Wild Card Win over Mets Should Not Have Been a Surprise"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Padres Elimination of Mets Was No Surprise<\/h2>\n<p>Name that pitcher! He faced the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/04\/07\/mets-preview-2022-win-now\/\" target=\"_self\">New York Mets<\/a> twice in the 2022 regular season. In his first appearance, he allowed no runs on two hits and no walks across seven innings, striking out six while hitting three batters. Six weeks later, he pitched seven innings again, allowing one run on four hits and a walk, striking out nine. In aggregate, he pitched 14 innings, allowing one run on six hits, one walk, and three hit batters while striking out 15. The pitcher? <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/07\/05\/awards-sweep\/\" target=\"_self\">San Diego Padres<\/a> ace Yu Darvish, who picked up where he left off in <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/10\/08\/padres-batter-game-one\/\" target=\"_self\">Game One of the Wild Card Series<\/a> \u2014 one run on six hits, no walks, and a hit batter, striking out four Mets in seven innings. The lone run came on a solo home run by Eduardo Escobar.<\/p>\n<p>Now name this pitcher. In his last four regular-season starts \u2014 out of 30 total \u2014 he allowed one run (solo home run) on 15 hits, walking eight and hitting one batter while striking out 27 across 22 innings. During this span, he held his opponents to a .188\/.270\/.288 slash line. Of course, this is 2022 All-Star Joe Musgrove. The same Joe Musgrove who <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2021\/04\/15\/padres-no-hitter-san-diego-legit\/\" target=\"_self\">pitched the only no-hitter<\/a> in San Diego Padres history in 2021. And the same Joe Musgrove who carved up the Mets during the emphatic 6\u20130 Padres victory in the decisive third game of the Wild Card Series.<\/p>\n<p>The score line in the third game was a surprise, certainly. Future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer giving up seven runs on seven hits and four home runs in 4 2\/3 innings in Game One was also a surprise, but he also was clearly injured and shouldn\u2019t have been out there. But the results themselves \u2014 two Padres victories \u2014 should not have been a surprise. They should have been fully expected.<\/p>\n<h3>Padres Matched Up Perfectly with the Mets<\/h3>\n<p><a id=\"UfzO8bzpSDdIgmLhlbVetw\" class=\"gie-single\" style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1432057750\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'UfzO8bzpSDdIgmLhlbVetw',sig:'E5l7D6mB14iVaueAL0QzVo7MgBrKa2L_4T01oHO2Hec=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1432057750',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Postseason baseball is about matchups. By losing the division title in the final week of the season, the Mets ended up with the least favorable matchup possible. Had they held onto the division, they would have gained a first-round bye and played the winner of the 3\u20136 series. That series was between the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/category\/cardinals\/\" target=\"_self\">St. Louis Cardinals<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/category\/phillies\/\" target=\"_self\">Philadelphia Phillies<\/a> \u2014 teams the Mets went 5\u20132 and 14\u20135 against in the regular season, respectively. Instead, the Mets ended up as the fourth seed, hosting the fifth-seeded Padres in a best-of-three series. During the regular season, the Padres took four of six from the Mets. In their June series in San Diego, the Padres won two of three. The July series in New York went the same \u2014 the Padres won two of three. This past weekend in the Wild Card Series, the Padres \u2014 surprise, surprise \u2014 won two of three.<\/p>\n<p>Far too many people \u2014 many of whom should have known better \u2014 ignored the head-to-head matchup during the season and focused on the Mets winning 101 games to the Padres 89. However, the Padres record was distorted by going 5\u201314 against the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/category\/dodgers\/\" target=\"_self\">Los Angeles Dodgers<\/a>. Against the rest of the league, the Padres were 84\u201359 (.587), which is a 95-win pace. Few serious, let alone casual, observers will catch this fact. But that is no excuse for ignoring the much more basic fact that the Padres took four of six from the Mets during the regular season.<\/p>\n<h4>The Flip Side<\/h4>\n<p>With the postseason being about matchups, there is a good chance that the Padres will bow out to the Dodgers in the best-of-five National League Division Series. The Dodgers, who won 14 of 19 against the Padres in 2022, could easily sweep them. Some will undoubtedly take a four-game Dodgers victory or three-game sweep as further evidence that the Mets lost to an inferior opponent, but the reality is that the Dodgers are as bad a matchup for the Padres as the Padres were for the Mets.<\/p>\n<h3>Tip Your Hat. A Very Good Padres Team Simply Beat the Mets.<\/h3>\n<p><a id=\"OMHGjMo-QS5LnbRKsXFOvw\" class=\"gie-single\" style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1432067112\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'OMHGjMo-QS5LnbRKsXFOvw',sig:'L6BvmXbrQTYwiaKTGSEhgVtQhxvBbNZJNkvuLppAiuA=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1432067112',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n<p>This series was not a \u201cchoke\u201d by the Mets. A team that dominated them during the regular season merely did it again in the playoffs. Two of the league\u2019s best pitchers shut them down. The Mets offense didn\u2019t suddenly \u201cgo cold\u201d in Game One. No, Darvish shoved them in the walk-in freezer and locked the door. The Mets bats didn\u2019t \u201cfall asleep\u201d in Game Three \u2014 Musgrove sent them to bed without dinner.<\/p>\n<p>Calling this series loss a \u201cchoke\u201d is to be expected from a bitterly disappointed fanbase. But that takes away from two outstanding performances by Darvish and Musgrove. Those two deserve all the accolades for their brilliant performances. Once again, postseason baseball is about matchups. This matchup was a dream for Darvish, Musgrove, and the rest of the Padres \u2014 and it was a nightmare for the Mets.<\/p>\n<h4>Main Photo:<\/h4>\n<p><a id=\"eZ2CQ2EhTl96UJf48Wb-fQ\" class=\"gie-single\" style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1432078823\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'eZ2CQ2EhTl96UJf48Wb-fQ',sig:'lCtAA0z1KekQAwP6fgDs-qYut5kPW5hetCgYM13EHjg=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1432078823',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n<h4>Players mentioned:<\/h4>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/darviyu01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=&amp;utm_medium=referral\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Yu Darvish<\/a><\/strong>, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/e\/escobed01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=&amp;utm_medium=referral\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Eduardo Escobar<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/musgrjo01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=&amp;utm_medium=referral\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joe Musgrove<\/a><\/strong>, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/scherma01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=&amp;utm_medium=referral\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Max Scherzer<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Padres Elimination of Mets Was No Surprise Name that pitcher! He faced the New York Mets twice in the 2022 regular season. In his first appearance, he allowed no runs on two hits and no walks across seven innings, striking out six while hitting three batters. Six weeks later, he pitched seven innings again, allowing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2901,"featured_media":56836,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,22,30],"tags":[1860,79,84],"class_list":["post-56835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-mets","category-padres","tag-joe-musgrove","tag-max-scherzer","tag-yu-darvish"],"modified_by":"Evan Thompson","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2901"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56835\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56836"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}