{"id":45024,"date":"2021-03-30T08:00:04","date_gmt":"2021-03-30T12:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=45024"},"modified":"2021-04-08T20:53:52","modified_gmt":"2021-04-09T00:53:52","slug":"2021-milwaukee-brewers-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2021\/03\/30\/2021-milwaukee-brewers-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Previewing the 2021 Milwaukee Brewers"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Milwaukee Brewers<\/a> will be neither the best nor the worst team in MLB this season, but they may be the most entertaining. The best highlight clips are acrobatic defensive plays and jaw-dropping pitch gifs. Given their rededication to team defense and perpetually stellar bullpen, the 2021 Milwaukee Brewers might be MLB\u2019s version of the AND1 Mixtape Tour.<\/span><\/p>\n

Offseason Review<\/span><\/h2>\n

Following a 29-31 finish in 2020, there were no flashy, big-ticket free-agent signings. However, they did make a few clever acquisitions to bolster their defense. Kolten Wong, generally regarded as the slickest second baseman in MLB, signed a two-year deal. With a pair of Gold Gloves on his mantle, he\u2019ll push Keston Hiura over to first base. At the plate, he doesn\u2019t offer much pop, but his .356 OBP since 2017 makes him a serviceable leadoff hitter.<\/span><\/p>\n

Outfielder Jackie Bradley, Jr. joined the club in early March on a two-year deal with spring training already underway. He\u2019ll primarily man right field, flanking Lorenzo Cain, even though he\u2019s a Gold Glove-caliber center fielder in his own right. He posted career highs in batting average (.283) and OBP (.364) last season and smashed 84 home runs over the last five years, but he\u2019s primarily going to bat in the bottom third of the lineup.<\/span><\/p>\n

That\u2019s\u2026 pretty much it! Travis Shaw returns to cover third base, but honestly, did he ever really leave? Ryan Braun\u2019s loss will be felt more emotionally than on the field. Other than losing Alex Claudio, the pitching staff remains virtually identical to the 2020 version.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lingering Questions<\/span><\/h2>\n

Christian Yelich Rebound<\/span><\/h3>\n

In 2018, Christian Yelich won the NL MVP, then finished runner-up in 2019. In 2020, his production fell off a cliff. After two consecutive batting titles, he limped to a .205 mark. There\u2019s no one else to carry the batting order besides him, so which version of him is the real thing?<\/span><\/p>\n

There was nothing wrong with the way he hit the ball <\/span>\u2014 when he made contact. He set career highs in average exit velocity, 94.0 mph, and hard-hit rate, 55.6%. His xwOBAcon, short for expected wOBA on contact, was a stellar .486, just a smidge lower than his 2018 and 2019 marks. He also achieved a personal best 18.6% walk rate\u2014 but that may actually be indicative of the problem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tagging along with those walks was a whopping 30.8% strikeout rate, which was more than ten points worse than the previous two years. Clearly, he was trying to work deeper counts instead of gripping-and-ripping when he saw a pitch he liked. In 2019, he put the ball in play on the first pitch 61 times out of 580 plate appearances, hitting .328 with eight home runs. In 2020, he only connected on the first pitch nine times in 247 trips. If he reverts back to his more aggressive approach, he should regain his status as one of the best players in the sport.<\/span><\/p>\n

The Rest of the Offense<\/span><\/h3>\n

Unless there\u2019s a spare Francisco Lindor or Mookie Betts lying around, the club\u2019s emphasis on defense comes at a cost. Bradley and Wong will be beloved by the pitching staff, but they\u2019re not middle-of-the-order bats by any definition.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Cain is always welcome batting first or second thanks to his great on-base and baserunning acumens, but he’s about to turn 35. Hiura and Shaw could blossom into power contributors in the rosiest projections. They could even wish upon a star for Omar Narv\u00e1ez to rediscover his stroke. However, the odds of all these players achieving their best possible scenarios are longer than a Miller Park bratwurst.<\/span><\/p>\n

Devin Williams Repeat Performance<\/span><\/h3>\n

Devin Williams\u2019 numbers last season were too surreal to be fiction. In 27 innings he allowed eight hits, one home run, and struck out 53 of 100 batters faced. Setting aside all the usual 2020 caveats, it was the single greatest season by a relief pitcher in MLB history. Deservingly, it culminated in the NL Rookie of the Year Award. His 53% strikeout rate set a single-season record by a qualified reliever, joining 2014 Aroldis Chapman 52.5% and 2012 Craig Kimbrel 50.2% as the third pitcher to ever strike out more than half of his opponents.<\/span><\/p>\n

Such an unprecedented level of success is probably not repeatable. It\u2019s simply an unrealistic bar. Be that as it may, his Airbender changeup-screwball hybrid, which we should really call a screwup, is just as unhittable as ever. He should remain one of the elite bullpen aces in MLB, even if he can\u2019t maintain peak Kimbrel levels over the long hall.<\/span><\/p>\n

Projected Regulars<\/span><\/h2>\n

Much of the offense rests on the shoulders of the 3-4-5 hitters. Hiura and Shaw are keys to the success of the lineup as a whole.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lineup<\/span><\/h3>\n
    \n
  1. 2B Kolten Wong, L<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. CF Lorenzo Cain, R<\/span><\/li>\n
  3. LF Christian Yelich, L<\/span><\/li>\n
  4. 1B Keston Hiura, R<\/span><\/li>\n
  5. 3B Travis Shaw, L<\/span><\/li>\n
  6. CF Jackie Bradley, Jr., L<\/span><\/li>\n
  7. C Omar Narv\u00e1ez, L<\/span><\/li>\n
  8. SS Orlando Arcia, R<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Rotation<\/span><\/h3>\n

    Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff are straight-up aces. They stack up just fine against any other team\u2019s front two starters. In fact, they may be the best 1-2 punch in the dim pitching history of the franchise. The problem is that ballclubs really need to go at least seven starters deep these days, and after the two stallions, <\/span>the pack thins out considerably<\/span><\/a>. Freddy Peralta was outstanding as a multi-inning reliever last year and gets the chance to start in 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. RHP Corbin Burnes<\/span><\/li>\n
    2. RHP Brandon Woodruff<\/span><\/li>\n
    3. LHP Brett Anderson<\/span><\/li>\n
    4. RHP Freddy Peralta<\/span><\/li>\n
    5. RHP Adrian Houser<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      Bullpen<\/span><\/h3>\n

      The relief corps is the club\u2019s greatest strength. Williams is in a class by himself, while Josh Hader locks down the closer role, compiling an unreal 15.3 K\/9 and 0.858 WHIP over his four-year career. Beyond those two, they have several other promising arms to help bridge the gap. Josh Lindblom also serves as their sixth starter in the event of injury or ineffectiveness.<\/span><\/p>\n