{"id":120911,"date":"2026-04-29T23:21:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T03:21:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=120911"},"modified":"2026-04-29T23:21:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T03:21:20","slug":"emergence-of-bryan-baker-rays","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/04\/29\/emergence-of-bryan-baker-rays\/","title":{"rendered":"The Emergence Of Bryan Baker"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Whether he&#8217;s labeled a &#8220;closer,&#8221; a &#8220;relief ace,&#8221; or a &#8220;high-leverage arm.&#8221; One thing is certain with <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/bryan-baker\/19804\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bryan Baker<\/a>: he&#8217;s been elite in 2026.<\/p>\n<h2>The Emergence of Bryan Baker<\/h2>\n<p>While many folks are (rightfully) focusing on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/mason-miller\/31757\/stats\/pitching&#039;\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mason Miller<\/a>, Baker is having a tremendous start to the season. The former Oriole has a 3.18 ERA and an xERA of 2.21, suggesting potential for even better results.<\/p>\n<p>Baker was an 11th-round pick by the Rockies in 2016 from the University of North Florida. He was sent to Toronto in 2018 before making his debut in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles then claimed him off waivers in November of that year, and he&#8217;s been in the majors ever since. The Rays traded a competitive balance draft pick for the righty in July of last season.<\/p>\n<p>The team has since traded for the player the Orioles selected with that pick, <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/slater-de-brun\/sa3069257\/stats\/batting\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Slater de Brun.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>But how have the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/03\/17\/looking-at-the-high-leverage-bullpen-options-for-the-rays\/\" target=\"_self\">Rays gotten to the point where the former Oriole is their best reliever<\/a>? Well, unfortunately, it&#8217;s been many things, but mostly injuries.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>What&#8217;s Happened To The Rest of the Bullpen?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/garrett-cleavinger\/17897\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Garret Cleavinger<\/a> and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/edwin-uceta\/20539\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Edwin Uceta<\/a> are both on the injured list. The former is expected to be back sooner than the latter, but it could take time to get back into the swing of things.<\/p>\n<p>Another reason for Baker&#8217;s elevation in status has been Griffin Jax&#8217;s severe underperformance. For whatever reason, Jax has been walking hitters and giving up hard contact at a shockingly high rate. This has led to the former Twin to have a FIP of 6.57.<\/p>\n<p>Not great; the Rays have other options, but none quite as good as Baker. Thus, Baker needs to step into this larger role.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>How&#8217;s Baker&#8217;s Pitching Differently Than Last Season?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For one thing, and perhaps most importantly, Baker doesn&#8217;t throw his slider nearly as much. Last year, he was using it nearly a quarter of the time. This season? An 8% usage rate.<\/p>\n<p>His changeup and fastball are his bread-and-butter pitches. Both are used over 45% of the time.<\/p>\n<p>His changeup has been devastating, with a 45% whiff rate. But his fastball has seen the biggest jump in performance. Last year, guys had a .355 wOBA off the pitch, while this year it&#8217;s been an impressive .218.<\/p>\n<p>All of this has led to a massive jump in success rates across the board. Strikeout rates up, walk rates down, chase and whiff rates up. All of his quality-of-contact marks have dropped drastically.<\/p>\n<p>And this is a case study in why blind reliance on stuff and the best idea might not be. His slider graded out as above average throughout his career, much higher than his fastball.<\/p>\n<p>Not to totally dismiss the metric, as it&#8217;s useful when used in the proper context. But Baker has almost ditched the pitch entirely, much to his benefit.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Where Does Baker Fit into the Plans When Everyone Is Healthy?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>At this point, it&#8217;d be difficult to demote him from his &#8220;closer&#8221; role. Pete Fairbanks has served in this position for the past couple of seasons. The Rays aren&#8217;t a traditional team, but having a designated 9th-inning guy frees up other arms for different scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>Plus, the truth is Baker has been one of their <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/04\/12\/rays-three-best-players-so-far-2026\/\" target=\"_self\">more valuable players in 2026<\/a>. He could very easily make a run at an All-Star selection. The likely scenario is that he fills that Fairbanks role while everyone else slots into other &#8220;high-leverage&#8221; arms.<\/p>\n<p>Hopefully, he can continue to perform at this level. Because he&#8217;s only 22nd in reliever fWAR up to this point, a ranking that could change with more of the same moving forward. And if so, the Rays could have another reliever success story to add to their lengthy resume.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credits: David Richard-Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Whether he&#8217;s labeled a &#8220;closer,&#8221; a &#8220;relief ace,&#8221; or a &#8220;high-leverage arm.&#8221; One thing is certain with Bryan Baker: he&#8217;s been elite in 2026. The Emergence of Bryan Baker While many folks are (rightfully) focusing on Mason Miller, Baker is having a tremendous start to the season. The former Oriole has a 3.18 ERA and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5777,"featured_media":120940,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6,1071],"tags":[5788],"class_list":["post-120911","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rays","category-mlb","tag-bryan-baker"],"modified_by":"Evan Mazza, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120911","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5777"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120911"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120911\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120943,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120911\/revisions\/120943"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120940"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120911"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120911"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120911"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}