{"id":117357,"date":"2026-03-31T01:59:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T05:59:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=117357"},"modified":"2026-03-31T01:59:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T05:59:29","slug":"2026-houston-astros-season-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/03\/31\/2026-houston-astros-season-prediction\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Houston Astros Season Prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The opening weekend of the MLB season is now past us, and baseball is officially in full swing. The 162-game grind for the Houston Astros is underway, and it is a pivotal one for the club in 2026. The Astros missed the postseason for the first time since 2016 last season and have expectations to get back to playing October baseball again.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Astros Face Pivotal Season After October Miss<\/h2>\n<p>The Astros lost their first full-season American League West division title last season after having won it for seven straight full seasons, going back to 2017. Houston will be looking to make it eight of nine in that category. The key will obviously be health, as that completely threw the Astros season off the rails.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The front office made a few changes and additions to the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/03\/28\/breaking-down-the-astros-2026-starting-pitching-rotation\/\" target=\"_self\">pitching staff<\/a> and outfield. It will be interesting to see if that does the trick. Owner Jim Crane has high expectations for what he believes is a good team. Astros manager <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/e\/espadjo99.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joe Espada<\/a> and general manager Dana Brown have gotten <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/10\/09\/astros-keep-on-manager-joe-espada-gm-dana-brown\/\" target=\"_self\">one more year<\/a> to prove themselves. If this all goes well, there won\u2019t be more questions.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Everyone in Houston is eager to see the Astros back in action and be successful. The fans want to see them back in the postseason, but how far can the Astros actually go? Here is my 2026 Houston Astros season prediction.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBGUHUtwvG\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 7144px; aspect-ratio: 7144\/4765;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p>\n<h3>2026 Astros Season Prediction<\/h3>\n<h4><strong>Record: 91-71, <\/strong><strong>1st in AL West<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li>Seattle Mariners (90-72)<\/li>\n<li>Texas Rangers (88-74)<\/li>\n<li>Athletics (81-81)<\/li>\n<li>Los Angeles Angels (75-87)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h4>Postseason Ceiling: World Series Appearance (more likely ALCS)<\/h4>\n<p>It\u2019s hard to predict just how far the Astros could go in the postseason, but with a wide-open American League, I see no issue in saying the Astros could get back to the World Series and re-establish themselves as one of the top teams in the American League. A more realistic prediction at this point is the ALCS. The Astros haven\u2019t been there since 2023.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Houston had a streak of seven straight ALCS appearances and four American League pennants from 2017 to 2023. I would consider it a successful season if the Astros get to that point again. It all depends on health. That\u2019s the key.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h3>\n<p>If the Astros have all their players available, there\u2019s a good chance it could happen, given all the postseason experience. The Houston offense has the big names in <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/altuvjo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jose Altuve<\/a>, <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/correca01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Carlos Correa<\/a>, <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/alvaryo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Yordan Alvarez<\/a>, <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/paredis01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaac Paredes<\/a>, and <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=walkech02,walker008chr&amp;search=Christian+Walker&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Christian Walker<\/a>. Those players would need to deliver. The Astros would also need a couple of outfielders, such as <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=meyerja02,meyers003jak&amp;search=Jake+Meyers&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jake Meyers<\/a>, <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/smithca07.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cam Smith<\/a>, or <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/l\/loperjo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joey Loperfido<\/a>, to contribute well on offense.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Yordan Alvarez ROCKETS one out! \ud83d\ude80 <a  href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5DLpQKb3vL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/5DLpQKb3vL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 MLB (@MLB) <a  href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MLB\/status\/2038781200895025473?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">March 31, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The starting pitching rotation looks different, but the talent is there, as well as the depth. <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/i\/imaita01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tatsuya Imai<\/a> is an important newcomer and would need to pitch well. If he <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/01\/05\/how-tatsuya-imai-officially-stabilizes-the-astros-pitching-rotation\/\" target=\"_self\">starts taking over<\/a> and pitching how he did in Japan, that takes the Astros\u2019 pitching to a new level.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The bullpen is relatively unknown right now. There are a lot of new pieces, but <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/haderjo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Josh Hader<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/02\/26\/what-all-star-closer-josh-hader-latest-setback-means-astros\/\" target=\"_self\">must be healthy<\/a>, and the Astros will need to find two more reliable arms in front of <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/a\/abreubr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bryan Abreu<\/a> and Hader.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>The Competition<\/h3>\n<p>The AL West is expected to be a competitive division, and the Mariners are the current favorite after winning it for the first time since 2001 last year. Seattle\u2019s pitching might have gotten better, and they replaced <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/suareeu01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Eugenio Su\u00e1rez<\/a> with <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/donovbr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brendan Donovan<\/a>. They did lose <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/polanjo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jorge Polanco<\/a>. It will be close with them as well as the Texas Rangers, who have talent across the board, led by <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/degroja01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jacob deGrom<\/a> as their ace. Texas also got outfielder <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/n\/nimmobr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brandon Nimmo<\/a> and <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mccutan01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Andrew McCutchen<\/a>.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Astros have a key 10-game road trip in April. A good sense of the team will come in May with a three-game home series against the back-to-back champions, the Los Angeles Dodgers, before a Mariners and Rangers series. Two series against the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays in June will be important. There are easier stretches and hard ones <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/astros\/schedule\/2026-09\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">in this schedule,<\/a> but 90 wins are possible.<\/p>\n<h3>Three Key Players: Yordan Alvarez, Cristian Javier, Josh Hader<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/12\/31\/astros-key-bounce-back-alvarez\/\" target=\"_self\">Alvarez\u2019s full-season impact<\/a> for the Astros is game-changing. He is an underrated hitter simply because of a lack of availability at times, but he can be an MVP candidate in full swing. If he plays most of the year, the Astros offense is dangerous.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Most have had Imai as the key pitcher, but <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/j\/javiecr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-31_br\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cristian Javier<\/a> is now an experienced member of the rotation who has shown his potential in big games. If he\u2019s back healthy and at his best, the starting pitching will be reliable. Hader was one of the best closers in the game. His elite presence in the bullpen takes that group to a higher level. A strong closer is a big factor in winning and losing. The pieces are there. It\u2019s just a matter of them coming together.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The opening weekend of the MLB season is now past us, and baseball is officially in full swing. The 162-game grind for the Houston Astros is underway, and it is a pivotal one for the club in 2026. The Astros missed the postseason for the first time since 2016 last season and have expectations to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5612,"featured_media":111423,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"1","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[14,1071,35],"tags":[28631,716,2517,28622,4076,5107,251,2182,29149,2725],"class_list":["post-117357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-astros","category-mlb","category-news","tag-cam-smith","tag-carlos-correa","tag-christian-walker","tag-cristian-javier","tag-isaac-paredes","tag-jake-meyers","tag-jose-altuve","tag-josh-hader","tag-tatsuya-imai","tag-yordan-alvarez"],"modified_by":"Lewis Masella, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5612"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117357"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117357\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":117366,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117357\/revisions\/117366"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}