{"id":114615,"date":"2026-02-23T21:00:07","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T02:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=114615"},"modified":"2026-02-23T21:00:07","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T02:00:07","slug":"whos-going-to-round-out-this-rays-rotation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2026\/02\/23\/whos-going-to-round-out-this-rays-rotation\/","title":{"rendered":"Who\u2019s Going To Round Out This Rays Rotation?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The top of this Tampa Bay Rays rotation is relatively set.<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/drew-rasmussen\/25385\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Drew Rasmussen<\/a>, coming off an elite 2025 season, is their Opening Day starter.<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/ryan-pepiot\/26221\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ryan Pepiot<\/a> is a solidified number two.<\/p>\n<p>If healthy, <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/shane-mcclanahan\/21483\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Shane McClanahan<\/a> could be a very good third member of this staff.<\/p>\n<p>But the bottom two spots are very much up for grabs.<\/p>\n<p>Especially if McClanahan is unable to accumulate as many innings coming off a lot of major injuries, these pitchers will be imperative to the Rays&#8217; success in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Who are these pitchers that could fill out the Rays&#8217; rotation?<\/p>\n<p>What are their strengths and weaknesses?<\/p>\n<p>Here are a few of the possible answers, starting with the two free agent acquisitions in the offseason.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Nick Martinez<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The biggest thing that stands out when looking at <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/nick-martinez\/12730\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nick Martinez<\/a> and his arsenal is just how many pitches he throws.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s got six of them, with all being used in the double-digits in terms of usage rates.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays could approach this as a problem or a good thing.<\/p>\n<p>If he&#8217;s used more as a starter\/bulk guy like he was last year, when he racked up over 160 innings, those pitches could come in handy.<\/p>\n<p>If he&#8217;s utilized more in short bursts, the Rays may want to consolidate a few of those offerings.<\/p>\n<p>Then they can make those pitches even better using their usual sorcery.<\/p>\n<p>Three of the offerings he used the most often were his cutter, 4-seam, and changeup.<\/p>\n<p>The changeup graded out the best on Stuff+ with a 112 mark.<\/p>\n<p>As an overall pitcher, he&#8217;s very on-brand for the Rays.<\/p>\n<p>He fills up the zone with an excellent 6.1% walk rate.<\/p>\n<p>His ability to avoid solid contact was among the best in the game, with a 90th percentile hard-hit rate.<\/p>\n<p>The struggles were mostly with the righty hurler&#8217;s ability to get whiffs and chases, neither of which was his strong suit in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>But his 58-degree arm angle is an interesting change of pace, especially compared to this next guy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"aligncenter\"><p class=\"aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBcF6XPnin\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 3984px; aspect-ratio: 3984\/2656;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Steven Matz<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Both <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/steven-matz\/13361\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Steven Matz<\/a> and the previously mentioned Martinez could easily serve as relievers at some point during this season.<\/p>\n<p>With Matz being a lefty and having a 34-degree arm angle, he could be a fascinating change-of-pace arm when paired with Martinez.<\/p>\n<p>Matz also has a very different arsenal, with a sinker-curve combination that makes up 80% of his pitches thrown.<\/p>\n<p>He served mostly as a reliever last year, appearing in 53 games but only starting a couple.<\/p>\n<p>2023 was the last time the veteran lefty cracked triple-digit innings, and at age 34, those days might be behind him.<\/p>\n<p>But Matz can still hold quite a bit of value with his sinker, as he posted a +8 run value with the pitch in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>He, like Martinez, also managed to limit the walks at an incredible rate (3.6% to be exact) and induce plenty of grounders with that sinker.<\/p>\n<p>His ground ball rate was at the 76th percentile for the majors in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Matz could easily be a very good bulk man.<\/p>\n<p>His ability to get outs in a different way than many of the other arms on this staff makes for an interesting chess piece for <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/managers\/cashke01.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Cash<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"aligncenter\"><p class=\"aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBCNGrmv7A\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 3984px; aspect-ratio: 3984\/2656;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Joe Boyle<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/joe-boyle\/29608\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joe Boyle<\/a> possesses the highest ceiling of anyone on this list.<\/p>\n<p>While he&#8217;s already 26 and going to turn 27 in August, his upside is massive.<\/p>\n<p>He has a height at 6&#8217;8&#8243;.<\/p>\n<p>He comes at hitters with a 98+ MPH fastball and a breaking pitch that grades out at a 128 on Stuff+.<\/p>\n<p>But he can be snake-bitten by the walk, as he struggled both in AAA and during his brief time with the big club last year.<\/p>\n<p>That was to be expected, as he&#8217;s been a noted wild pitcher from his time with the Athletics.<\/p>\n<p>But the whiff rates and quality of contact allowed in AAA were still mind-boggling.<\/p>\n<p>He generated misses on 40.5% of his pitches and had a .258 xwOBA for the season with the Durham Bulls.<\/p>\n<p>If Boyle can figure out how to remain in the strike zone, he could be not only great in 2026 but a mainstay for the Rays for years to come.<\/p>\n<p class=\"aligncenter\"><p class=\"aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOB2Tui6h6p\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 4343px; aspect-ratio: 4343\/3474;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Ian Seymour<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Everything about Joe Boyle, <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/ian-seymour\/27932\/stats\/pitching\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ian Seymour<\/a> is sort of the opposite.<\/p>\n<p>Playing into more of the narrative that the Rays love to throw a bunch of different arms at teams, Seymour is more of a soft-tossing lefty.<\/p>\n<p>Seymour didn&#8217;t generate quite the whiffs that Boyle did last season.<\/p>\n<p>But, even so, it was still quite good, as it was in the 80th percentile in AAA last year.<\/p>\n<p>The difference is that he did so while posting a 5.6% walk rate.<\/p>\n<p>He did so with twice as many pitches as Boyle (six compared to Boyle&#8217;s three).<\/p>\n<p>The main offering of Seymour was his changeup.<\/p>\n<p>That pitch lived in the lower part of the zone, with a 23.7% putaway rate.<\/p>\n<p>Both his changeup and fastball were very good at limiting base hits, with neither allowing a batting average of over .230.<\/p>\n<p>Seymour also threw over 130 innings across both AAA and the majors in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s going to be the most reliable option out of this group despite his relative inexperience.<\/p>\n<p>His ability to live in the zone and post up will be invaluable, especially with McClanahan&#8217;s status up in the air.<\/p>\n<p class=\"aligncenter\"><p class=\"aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBbVEMt2XP\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 3453px; aspect-ratio: 3453\/2656;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p><\/p>\n<h2>Who\u2019s Likely To Start the Season in the Rotation?<\/h2>\n<p>Along with the two (or three) mainstays, the most likely option is Martinez as a traditional starter and Matz as more of a bulk guy coming in behind an opener.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a very real world where Seymour is on the roster all year to help manage McClanahan&#8217;s load.<\/p>\n<p>Boyle is still a bit of a work in progress, but his talent is undeniable, and the Rays could decide to give him some runway.<\/p>\n<p>As with most staffs, the Rays&#8217; rotation will be fluid, especially as injuries inevitably pile up.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The top of this Tampa Bay Rays rotation is relatively set. Drew Rasmussen, coming off an elite 2025 season, is their Opening Day starter. Ryan Pepiot is a solidified number two. If healthy, Shane McClanahan could be a very good third member of this staff. But the bottom two spots are very much up for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5777,"featured_media":108516,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1071,35,6],"tags":[6280,29219,6511,2236,5643,5681,2003,684],"class_list":["post-114615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","category-news","category-rays","tag-drew-rasmussen","tag-ian-seymour","tag-joe-boyle","tag-kevin-cash","tag-nick-martinez","tag-ryan-pepiot","tag-shane-mcclanahan","tag-steven-matz"],"modified_by":"Augustus Oswald, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5777"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=114615"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114615\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":114653,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114615\/revisions\/114653"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=114615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=114615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}