{"id":110103,"date":"2025-12-01T20:06:39","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T01:06:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=110103"},"modified":"2025-12-01T20:06:39","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T01:06:39","slug":"three-realistic-landing-spots-framber-valdez-free-agency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/12\/01\/three-realistic-landing-spots-framber-valdez-free-agency\/","title":{"rendered":"Three Realistic Landing Spots for Astros&#8217; Free Agent Ace"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/v\/valdefr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Framber Valdez<\/a> enters free agency as one of the most coveted pitchers on the market: a durable, ground-ball machine with elite playoff experience and top-of-the-rotation presence. Left-handed frontline starters rarely hit the market, and Valdez\u2019s ability to give 175\u2013200 innings with swing-and-miss stuff makes him a centerpiece target for every contender with money to spend. Here are a few realistic fits \u2014 including one big-market club ready to push the bidding toward the $200 million mark.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_97495\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-97495\" style=\"width: 831px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-97495\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Framber Valdez is a prime candidate for an extension from the Astros.\" width=\"831\" height=\"554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/03\/USATSI_25416070_168400885_lowres-1200x800.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 831px) 100vw, 831px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-97495\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Feb 14, 2025; West Palm Beach, FL, USA; Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez (59) plays catch during a spring training workout at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Best Free Agency Fits for Framber Valdez<\/h2>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>1. Los Angeles Dodgers<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Why It Makes Sense<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Valdez is the consummate October-ready staff ace. The Dodgers love pitchers who dominate contact quality, stay in the zone, and avoid home runs \u2014 all things Valdez excels at. He fits their model perfectly: a reliable postseason performer who pairs with <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/11\/02\/yoshinobu-yamamoto-wins-2025-world-series-mvp\/\" target=\"_self\">World Series MVP<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/y\/yamamyo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Yoshinobu Yamamoto<\/a> to form a lethal righty\u2013lefty playoff duo. With constant rotational turnover, Los Angeles craves stability, and Valdez offers exactly that.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He gives them a guaranteed Game 2 (or even Game 1) starter in every playoff series.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Projected Contract<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6 years, $180\u2013195 million<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Rationale<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Dodgers can comfortably operate in this tier, and Valdez\u2019s playoff r\u00e9sum\u00e9 pushes him well north of $30 million per year. LA gets its co-ace without stretching into a seven- or eight-year megadeal.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>2. New York Mets<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Why It Makes Sense<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Mets are a big-market powerhouse ready to spend on a frontline arm. This is the perfect marriage of <em>need<\/em>\u00a0and\u00a0<em>resources<\/em>. The Mets want to win immediately, and their rotation behind <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sengako01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kodai Senga<\/a> is incomplete. David Stearns prioritizes pitchers who induce ground balls and limit hard contact. Valdez is arguably the best ground-ball starter in baseball.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With Steve Cohen backing the payroll, the Mets can simply outbid everyone. They also have the motivation: their NL East rivals are stacked with frontline pitching (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/stridsp01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Spencer Strider<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/wheelza01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Zack Wheeler<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/n\/nolaaa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Aaron Nola<\/a>), and New York needs an answer.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Valdez becomes the Mets\u2019 version of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rodonca01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Carlos Rod\u00f3n<\/a> or Zack Wheeler \u2014 a tone-setting lefty who shifts the team\u2019s entire competitive ceiling.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Only one pitcher has thrown 700+ IP with a 125 ERA+ or better since 2022:<\/p>\n<p>Framber Valdez \ud83d\udcaa<\/p>\n<p>One of the most consistently great pitchers in the sport <a  href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ddBpVkqDwu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/ddBpVkqDwu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Just Baseball (@JustBB_Media) <a  href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JustBB_Media\/status\/1989092488888680792?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 13, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Projected Contract<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7 years, $200\u2013215 million<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Rationale<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If anyone pushes the deal to (or beyond) $200 million, it\u2019s the Mets. A seven-year structure spreads the money out while allowing Cohen to win the bidding war. This is the most aggressive and most realistic big-number match.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>3. Baltimore Orioles<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Why It Makes Sense<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Baltimore\u2019s young core is World Series-ready, but the rotation, especially after <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/11\/18\/orioles-acquire-taylor-ward-angels-trade-grayson-rodriguez\/\" target=\"_self\">trading<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/rodrigr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-01_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Grayson Rodriguez<\/a>, lacks the battle-tested presence needed in October. Valdez gives them everything they\u2019ve been missing: postseason poise, innings, and ground-ball dominance in a hitter-friendly division.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Orioles have the payroll space \u2014 and competitive urgency \u2014 to make a major splash after years of bargain signings and finally add a true frontline veteran.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Projected Contract<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">6 years, $175\u2013190 million<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Rationale<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Baltimore may not want to reach Mets levels, but this range is realistic if they decide it\u2019s time to go all in. A six-year deal keeps them competitive without sacrificing long-term flexibility.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>The Last Word<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Framber Valdez is the exact kind of frontline starter teams pay a premium for: durable, playoff-proven, left-handed, and still in his prime. His market will be aggressive, and the Mets are the most likely team to push his price toward the $200-215 million range.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Most likely landing spots right now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\n<li><strong>Mets \u2014 the biggest spender and most motivated bidder<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Dodgers \u2014 elite fit and World Series urgency<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Orioles \u2014 the contender that needs him most<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Framber Valdez enters free agency as one of the most coveted pitchers on the market: a durable, ground-ball machine with elite playoff experience and top-of-the-rotation presence. Left-handed frontline starters rarely hit the market, and Valdez\u2019s ability to give 175\u2013200 innings with swing-and-miss stuff makes him a centerpiece target for every contender with money to spend. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5710,"featured_media":59493,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"1764547200","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"523","footnotes":""},"categories":[14,3,33,1071,22,35],"tags":[1069,197,2359,2030,6456,3820,6553,683],"class_list":["post-110103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-astros","category-orioles","category-dodgers","category-mlb","category-mets","category-news","tag-aaron-nola","tag-carlos-rodon","tag-framber-valdez","tag-grayson-rodriguez","tag-kodai-senga","tag-spencer-strider","tag-yoshinobu-yamamoto","tag-zack-wheeler"],"modified_by":"Lewis Masella, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110103","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5710"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110103"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110103\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":110126,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110103\/revisions\/110126"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59493"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}