{"id":102759,"date":"2025-06-24T23:33:19","date_gmt":"2025-06-25T03:33:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=102759"},"modified":"2025-06-24T23:33:19","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T03:33:19","slug":"war-tells-us-royals-largely-failing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/06\/24\/war-tells-us-royals-largely-failing\/","title":{"rendered":"WAR Tells Us the Royals Are Largely Failing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>WAR (Wins above Replacement) has become one of the most revered statistics in the baseball sabermetrics movement.\u00a0 For many baseball fans, WAR tries to capture everything a player does \u2014 <strong data-start=\"376\" data-end=\"424\">hitting, fielding, baserunning, and pitching<\/strong> \u2014 and translates it into <em data-start=\"450\" data-end=\"456\">wins<\/em>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"459\" data-end=\"519\">\n<p data-start=\"461\" data-end=\"519\">A <strong data-start=\"463\" data-end=\"475\">WAR of 0<\/strong> = you\u2019re as good as a random minor leaguer.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"520\" data-end=\"548\">\n<p data-start=\"522\" data-end=\"548\"><strong data-start=\"522\" data-end=\"531\">2 WAR<\/strong> = solid starter.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"549\" data-end=\"572\">\n<p data-start=\"551\" data-end=\"572\"><strong data-start=\"551\" data-end=\"560\">5 WAR<\/strong> = All-Star.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"573\" data-end=\"598\">\n<p data-start=\"575\" data-end=\"598\"><strong data-start=\"575\" data-end=\"585\">8+ WAR<\/strong> = MVP-level.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Recognizing its limitations, WAR is useful, despite many fans saying, &#8220;WAR, what is it good for? Absolutely nothing!&#8221;\u00a0 \u00a0WAR is an estimate, not a perfect stat.\u00a0 A week-long hot streak doesn\u2019t move WAR much.\u00a0 Use it to <em data-start=\"1307\" data-end=\"1314\">group<\/em> players by tiers, not split hairs over decimal points.<\/p>\n<p>Using that scale and keeping those limitations in mind, it is useful to use the current WAR for each player at each position to determine their overall quality of play for this year&#8217;s Kansas City Royals.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_102810\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-102810\" style=\"width: 559px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-102810\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26526017_168400885_lowres-300x191.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"559\" height=\"356\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26526017_168400885_lowres-300x191.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26526017_168400885_lowres-1024x651.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26526017_168400885_lowres-768x488.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26526017_168400885_lowres-1536x977.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/7\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26526017_168400885_lowres-2048x1303.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 559px) 100vw, 559px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-102810\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jun 24, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Royals third baseman Maikel Garcia (11) gets a hand from catcher Salvador Perez (13) after scoring a run in the ninth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Peter Aiken-Imagn Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Royals WAR Numbers Underscore Team&#8217;s Struggles<\/h2>\n<p>As would likely be expected, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/wittbo02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bobby Witt Jr.<\/a> clearly is the Royals leader, with an overall WAR of 3.6, which places him fourth in the American League among position players. Second on the team behind Witt is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/g\/garcima01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Maikel Garcia<\/a>, with a 2.2 WAR. Garc\u00eda is having a breakout 2025 campaign. He\u2019s fused patience and power into a strong offensive profile, demonstrated clutch performance, and earned a central role in KC\u2019s lineup. He\u2019s a legitimate contributor in the top third of the order, and if he keeps this up, he could be in line for All-Star consideration.<\/p>\n<p>This is where the news starts to turn bad. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pasquvi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vinnie Pasquantino<\/a> has had some recent hot stretches, but his WAR for the season sits at 1.0. The left-handed hitting Pasquantino has hit .293 with 10 home runs against right-handers.\u00a0 Against southpaws, he has only one home run to go with a .189 batting average.<\/p>\n<p>Next in line is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/fermifr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Freddy Fermin<\/a>, whose playing time as a back-up catcher has been limited to half the games played by the top three. Yet, in only 45 games, Fermin has a 0.9 WAR, placing him barely behind Pasquintino.\u00a0 Next, at 0.8, is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/i\/isbelky01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kyle Isbel<\/a>, whose 0.8 is a sign of the problems with the Royals&#8217; outfield. Collectively, the outfield has a -4.0 WAR, placing them ahead of only the Colorado Rockies in outfield WAR. As has been noted all season, the Royals&#8217; outfield is offensively woeful, and is an area where the team needs serious offensive help.<\/p>\n<p>Worthy of note is also the -0.8 WAR currently held by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/perezsa02.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Salvador Perez<\/a>, who has shown signs of shaking his early-season malaise. If P\u00e9rez can sustain his recent hot stretch\u2014particularly riding improved contact quality and better situational hitting\u2014his offensive line could align better with his career norms. But unless he raises his average and gets healthier OBP\/SLG, he&#8217;s likely to continue underperforming relative to past MVP-level seasons.<\/p>\n<h3>A Silver Lining<\/h3>\n<p>Offsetting the offensive woes experienced this season by the team, the pitching staff has excelled. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bubickr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kris Bubic<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/w\/wachami01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Michael Wacha<\/a> have anchored the starting rotation.\u00a0 Injury concerns have limited <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/raganco01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cole Ragans<\/a> for the season, but the Royals have nonetheless sustained decent pitching numbers. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/camerno01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-24_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Noah Cameron<\/a> seems to have established himself as a legitimate back-of-rotation starter.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Michael Wacha, K&#8217;ing the Side in the 2nd. <a  href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zVYJMnLuS6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/zVYJMnLuS6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) <a  href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PitchingNinja\/status\/1928914547554857139?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">May 31, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>The Last Word<\/h3>\n<p>It&#8217;s easy to see the 2025 Royals are a team built on pitching and defense, punching below their weight offensively. Their middle-of-the-lineup inefficiency has pulled them down to roughly .500 baseball by mid-June. If their bats wake up\u2014especially the power guys\u2014they\u2019ve got a path back into the Wild Card conversation. Otherwise, their ceiling for the rest of the summer looks like a sub-90-win season, barring moves at the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/06\/18\/royals-2025-trade-deadline-strategy\/\" target=\"_self\">trade deadline<\/a>. They&#8217;ll have to ride on strong pitching and hope the lineup rallies.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: \u00a9 Peter Aiken-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WAR (Wins above Replacement) has become one of the most revered statistics in the baseball sabermetrics movement.\u00a0 For many baseball fans, WAR tries to capture everything a player does \u2014 hitting, fielding, baserunning, and pitching \u2014 and translates it into wins. A WAR of 0 = you\u2019re as good as a random minor leaguer. 2 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5566,"featured_media":102809,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"600","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,1071,35],"tags":[2583,5889,29017,28839,29018,6457,726,527,28452],"class_list":["post-102759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-royals","category-mlb","category-news","tag-bobby-witt-jr","tag-cole-ragans","tag-freddy-fermin","tag-kris-bubic","tag-kyle-isbel","tag-maikel-garcia","tag-michael-wacha","tag-salvador-perez","tag-vinnie-pasquantino"],"modified_by":"Lewis Masella, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5566"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102759"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":102811,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102759\/revisions\/102811"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102809"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}