{"id":101584,"date":"2025-06-04T18:13:58","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T22:13:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=101584"},"modified":"2025-06-04T18:13:58","modified_gmt":"2025-06-04T22:13:58","slug":"pirates-face-decision-isiah-kiner-falefa-trade-deadline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/06\/04\/pirates-face-decision-isiah-kiner-falefa-trade-deadline\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates Face Decision on Isiah Kiner-Falefa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With June comes trade rumors, and the Pittsburgh Pirates have decisions to make on expiring contracts, notably shortstop <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kineris01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isiah Kiner-Falefa<\/a>. The Pirates enter Wednesday\u2019s action with a 22-39 record. They\u2019re in last place in the National League Central Division, 16 \u00bd games out of first place and 10 \u00bd games out of the last Wild Card spot. Every expert baseball observer and casual fan predicts the Pirates will be sellers at the trade deadline. Pirates general manager Ben Cherington insists things will turn around and the Pirates will get back in the race. However, he\u2019s alone in that belief. Once the deadline approaches, he\u2019ll have to either face reality or be derelict in his duty.<\/p>\n<h2>Pirates Face Decision on Kiner-Falefa: Keep or Trade?<\/h2>\n<p>Unless Cherington\u2019s instincts are correct and the Pirates magically find themselves in contention, retaining Kiner-Falefa past the deadline makes sense only if they sign him to a contract extension or believe they can. That\u2019s not how they usually do business. Then again, there\u2019s a first time for everything, and the Pirates\u2019 way hasn\u2019t been working since 2016. He\u2019s in the second year of a two-year, $15 million contract he signed with the Toronto Blue Jays before the Pirates obtained him in a <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/07\/30\/pirates-acquire-blue-jays-utility-player\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">deadline deal<\/a> last year. The deal included some cash going the Pirates\u2019 way to offset some of that cost. Kiner-Falefa had been unhappy playing for <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/05\/08\/pirates-fire-manager-derek-shelton-don-kelly-replacement\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">former manager<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/managers\/sheltde99.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Derek Shelton<\/a>. He likes playing for the new manager <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kellydo01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Don Kelly<\/a>. He\u2019s a distant cousin of Pirates Hall of Famer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/k\/kinerra01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ralph Kiner<\/a> and seemed genuinely moved to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/news\/isiah-kiner-falefa-connects-with-his-family-and-meets-cousin\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">meet Ralph\u2019s son Scott<\/a> earlier this season.<\/p>\n<h3>The Case for Keeping Kiner-Falefa<\/h3>\n<p>Let\u2019s pretend the Pirates try to persuade him to stick around. Kiner-Falefa, 30, has been one of the Pirates&#8217; better players this season. At the close of Tuesday\u2019s action, he\u2019s hitting .310\/.356\/.393 with a 110 OPS+ and 110 wRC+. Among qualifiers, Kiner-Falefa leads the Pirates in batting average and is second in OBP. He typically bats ninth in the order, where he\u2019s in front of the Pirates\u2019 \u201cbig three\u201d hitters, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/cruzon01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Oneil Cruz<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/reynobr01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bryan Reynolds<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mccutan01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Andrew McCutchen<\/a>. His placement in the bottom position has been the subject of debate, but it\u2019s resulted in him scoring 21 runs, tied for second on the club.<\/p>\n<p>The versatile \u201cIKF\u201d has played every position on the field except first base. In the pandemic-abbreviated 2020 season, he won a Gold Glove Award for his work at third base with the Texas Rangers. This season, he\u2019s played strictly at <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/01\/16\/pirates-shortstop-position-unsettled\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">shortstop<\/a> but for one appearance at third. He\u2019s committed six errors and been credited with one Defensive Run Saved (DRS) and -1 Fielding Runs Above Average (FRAA). He\u2019d previously played shortstop regularly in 2021 with Texas and 2022 with the New York Yankees. He played the position well.<\/p>\n<p>In 2021, he led the majors with 436 assists, 98 double plays, and a 4.17 Range Factor Per Game (RF\/G). The major league average RF\/G that season was 3.72. Thus, despite committing 19 errors, if we extrapolate his RF\/G figures, he fielded 70 more balls than the average shortstop over the 156 games he played. He was credited with five FRAA and 12 DRS in 2021. In 2022, his RF\/9 and RF\/G dropped below average, but he was still credited with six FRAA and 10 DRS. In 2025, his 4.03 Range Factor per Nine Innings (RF\/9) and 3.90 RF\/G are again above MLB average.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">This is going on my locker! I wonder who lead the A.L in defensive war last year. <a  href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GHLj7nXSZq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/GHLj7nXSZq<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Isiah Kiner-Falefa (@Isiahkf11) <a  href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Isiahkf11\/status\/1374848054818340865?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">March 24, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>If Not Kiner-Falefa, Who?<\/h3>\n<p>The Pirates don\u2019t appear to have a major-league-ready shortstop who could step in for Kiner-Falefa. The people\u2019s choice would be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pegueli01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Liover Peguero<\/a>, 24, who was acquired in Cherington\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2020\/01\/27\/arizona-diamondbacks-acquire-starling-marte-from-the-pittsburgh-pirates\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">first trade<\/a> as Pirates GM in 2020. A Pittsburgh sports fan\u2019s favorite players are the Pirates\u2019 most prominent minor league prospect and the Steelers&#8217; backup quarterback. Peguero was that prospect until <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/skenepa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Paul Skenes<\/a> and, later, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/register\/player.fcgi?id=chandl002roy&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bubba Chandler<\/a> arrived. Peguero is still frequently mentioned when the fans chant their \u201cplay-the-kids\u201d mantra.<\/p>\n<p>Forget about Peguero. He intrigued observers when he was called up in 2023 and hit .237\/.280\/.374 but with a surprising seven home runs in 59 games. Obviously, he was acquired with the intent that he would be the shortstop of the future. Just as obviously, despite his merits or shortcomings, the Pirates no longer see him that way. When infielder <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/t\/triolja01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jared Triolo<\/a> went on the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/04\/07\/pirates-triolo-injured-list-cheng\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">injured list<\/a> in early April, it was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/chengts01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tsung-Che Cheng<\/a> to whom they turned, bypassing Peguero.<\/p>\n<p>Cheng, 23, is a left-handed-hitting shortstop and the Pirates&#8217; No. 17 prospect. The Taiwan native was the starting shortstop and leadoff hitter in this year\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2025\/03\/14\/pirates-spring-breakout-game-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Spring Breakout Game<\/a>, when he had two hits. His game is making contact, getting on base, and stealing bases. However, in his brief stint with the Pirates, he was 0-for-7 and looked overmatched. He\u2019s not lighting up Triple-A pitching either. At Indianapolis, he\u2019s hitting .197\/.306\/.238. In three games with Pittsburgh before returning to Indy, Cheng looked like a smooth, slick fielder. Defensively, he might be ready for the majors now. But his offensive game needs more work. With no other shortstop in the system knocking on the door, a trade of Kiner-Falefa might mean the Pirates will drag Triolo and his .152 average out at shortstop every day. Kiner-Falefa is the best shortstop they have at present.<\/p>\n<h3>The Case for a Trade<\/h3>\n<p>To say there\u2019s a case \u201cagainst\u201d Kiner-Falefa may be too strong. Maybe it\u2019s more of a case for a trade. Like many players in the final year of their contract, IKF may be having a career year that he may never duplicate. Every figure in his .310\/.356\/.393 slash line represents a career-high. His second-best batting average was .280 in 2020. If we disregard that short season as an unrepresentative sample, his next highest was .271 the following year. For 2025, he carries a .370 BABIP, which is unsustainable. A second-half regression to the mean may be in IKF\u2019s future. We saw it last year. Kiner-Falefa was hitting .292 with the Jays when he was acquired, but hit just .240 with the Pirates.<\/p>\n<h3>The Last Word<\/h3>\n<p>The Pirates have several players under expiring contracts, but their toughest decision lies with Kiner-Falefa. It won\u2019t be hard to decide to deal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/fraziad01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Adam Frazier<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/phamth01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tommy Pham<\/a>. They have no future with Pittsburgh. Based on his current production (or lack thereof), Pham may not have a future anywhere. Veteran pitcher <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/heanean01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-06-04_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Andrew Heaney<\/a> will probably be traded, too. He\u2019s pitched well, but so has the rest of the rotation, and somebody\u2019s got to step aside for Chandler. There will be plenty of speculation over these next eight weeks. We\u2019ll have plenty of it on these pages.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With June comes trade rumors, and the Pittsburgh Pirates have decisions to make on expiring contracts, notably shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. The Pirates enter Wednesday\u2019s action with a 22-39 record. They\u2019re in last place in the National League Central Division, 16 \u00bd games out of first place and 10 \u00bd games out of the last Wild [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5010,"featured_media":101596,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[26,1071],"tags":[1103,4903,610,1374,4906,4809,3329,3434,6371,1087],"class_list":["post-101584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pirates","category-mlb","tag-adam-frazier","tag-andrew-heaney","tag-andrew-mccutchen","tag-bryan-reynolds","tag-bubba-chandler","tag-isiah-kiner-falefa","tag-liover-peguero","tag-oneil-cruz","tag-paul-skenes","tag-tommy-pham"],"modified_by":"Lewis Masella, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101584","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5010"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101584"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101584\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":101597,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101584\/revisions\/101597"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}