Sports. Honestly. Since 2011

NFL Ramblings – Tebow, Vick and the Jets, Jets, Jets!

Tim Tebow © by Jeffrey Beall

The epic battle between the New York Jets and Denver Broncos on Thursday night ended in the best way possible, with a Tim Tebow comeback in the final minutes.  Taking possession with less than 4 minutes left on the clock Tebow drove his team down the field like the previous 56 minutes of ineptitude did not matter. When he had carved up the Jets in every way possible to get down to the 20 yard line the Jets said enough was enough.  They sent an all-out blitz.  Tebow saw it coming, evaded the rush and went straight to the end zone for the game winning TD.  Comeback complete.  Now let the discussion begin.

Our need to categorize everyone and everything is taken to an extreme when it comes to Tim Tebow.  Some are unwilling to even accept the thought a QB with such weak pocket skills could make it in the elite NFL, others are simply standing behind one statement: “He is a winner.” He resonates so much because he is not fully understood (how could he be?) and even his biggest supporters or detractors have some doubt in their own minds and this only feeds their need for evidence to back up their evaluation. It has become a constant search to convince themselves, and everyone else, that they are right.

I don’t have any definitive answers and I am not trying too hard to evaluate him. I realize his abilities are unique and like any player he must be given the chance to prove himself.  I am skeptical he can look so ugly on some throws and still win in the end,  and yet when he makes a play like the TD run with the game in the balance and he is mobbed by his teammates you can’t help but feel it was not an accident.

That moment is what stands out to me right now.  Tebow dashing through the end zone, dropping the ball and letting loose a primal scream to the raving fans, and moments later his ecstatic teammates mobbing him without a second thought.  The moment was so genuine that no ref even bothered to throw a flag for excessive celebration in spite of the fact this is one of their favorite things to do after big plays.  There wasn’t a single offensive player I could see who didn’t join in.  Was it Tebow who inspired them to play so hard on the final drive? I don’t know.

But there is a lot I don’t know about Tebow.  I don’t know if he will lead his team to the playoffs.  I don’t know if he will win another game this year. I don’t know where he will be playing next season.  I only know one thing.  If Tebow wants to reach the heights that some people clearly have in mind for him then he will have to improve.

In the Broncos wins under Tebow this season they have put up point totals of 18, 38, 17 and 17 points.  Not terrible.  But not cutting it for an entire season either, especially when the wins have come over the Dolphins, Raiders, Chiefs and Jets (more on this in a minute).  He will have to improve because the defense cannot hold the other team to 13 points or less every game like they are now.  What’s especially impressive is that they are doing this without being set up in great field position or with an offense that is running a lot of plays.  The success for the Broncos under Tebow has come because they have been willing to adapt their game to him.  They have incorporated the option into their play calling and have used other misdirection and power run plays. I am not going to flat-out discredit a team running the option. (“Because it just can’t work in the NFL” as some would say)  In general I don’t think NFL teams try enough different formations and schemes especially when it is clear they are not a good team.  But we know Tebow must improve, whatever offense is being run, because while unique, this situation is not totally unprecedented.

We have seen wacky formations succeed in the NFL before, like the Dolphins Wild Cat in 2008.  We have seen running quarterbacks have success too. The best examples being early Michael Vick and Vince Young in Tennessee.  Both struggled to pass early in their careers but both did not have any trouble picking up wins either. (Look up Vince’s win-loss record, please.)  Ultimately the Wild Cat was figured out and Vick and Vince did not improve tremendously as passers.  All of these things faded away.  Vick has attempted to re-invent himself now as more of a passer on the Eagles with mixed results and Vince is his back-up.

Both Vick and Vince had similar games early in their careers to what Tebow had a few nights ago.  Poor performances wiped clean by using their athleticism late in the game to pick up wins for their teams. Vick was more spectacular though and incredibly tough to tackle.  He was a big deal because of his high-light reel plays but we could rationalize why he was succeeding so overall he was not as polarizing. What makes what Tebow is doing so uncanny is just how poorly he is playing before he turns it around late.  If he was playing like a decent QB and then turning into a great QB in the 4th quarter there would not be as much made of the comebacks.

But that is not what he is doing.  What he is doing now is relying on the defense to keep his team in the game.  Whether or not you want to believe Tebow playing quarterback is making the defense play better is up to you.  But playing great D and having Tebow make a few great plays in the 4th quarter is the recipe for success right now.  But it will not always be that way.  Eventually Tebow will have to start putting together complete games or he won’t have long-term success.  For now, let’s just enjoy every start.  Make sure not to miss one because you never know what is going to happen.

The team that got Tebow’d on Thursday Night was the Jets.  Everyone deserves blame for this loss.  Special Teams for missing Field Goals, the defense for giving up the late drive with seemingly no answers, and of course the offense for letting Tebow hang around and especially for gifting the Broncos 7 points on an interception. The group I want to talk about though is the offense, not because I want to blame them for the loss but because I want to take a closer look at what kind of offense they are right now.

I went into the game thinking that Sanchez was the Jets main problem on offense and he was really holding them back, I even wrote about how no one is labelling Sanchez for the mediocre quarterback he is before the game.  But what happened last night was not his fault.  He didn’t play very good but he really had no help, and it would have taken a real all-star at QB to make the Jets offense successful last night.  The Jets have gone backwards as a team and I don’t know if everyone has fully realized it yet.

The last two seasons the Jets made their living on offense running the ball behind a truly dominant O-line. This season the line just isn’t the same (the retirement of right tackle Damien Woody appears to have had a huge impact).  The right side is a liability and they have lost the ability to drive the opponent off the ball in the run game.  This is only the start of their problems. They have gone from a receiver tandem of Santonio Holmes- Braylon Edwards- Dustin Keller- Jerricho Cotchery down to Holmes-Keller-Plaxico Burress (they also had Derrick Mason, who they got to replace Cotchery but he has been let go already).  This is a massive downgrade.  The Jets seemed to think Burress would be able to help their offense more than Edwards but they couldn’t have been more wrong.  It may seem like Burress is playing well because his catch numbers appear alright in the box score.  But the reason he is getting so many catches is that he is the player the defense wants the Jets to throw to.  Defenses are focusing on stopping Holmes who is still very dangerous.  But beyond him the Jets don’t have anyone who can make big plays.  Burress can still catch but he is slow and can only get open on certain routes,  he is just a red zone threat being forced into a bigger role than he should have.  Edwards gave the Jets the ability to stretch the field and he made big plays while wearing the green and white.  Without him the Jets have become easy to defend and predictable.

Against Denver the Jets lost running back Shonn Greene early.  With Tomlinson already hurt this forced Joe McKnight into the role as the main back.  Mcknight has used his speed to make some nice plays on special teams but that is about where his contributions should end.  He doesn’t have enough strength to be a running back, picture a poor man’s Reggie Bush.  This made it easy for Denver to stop the run, which in turn did not give the Jets a lot of easy 3rd down conversions.  The Broncos also did a good job of taking away Santonio Holmes and making Burress and the other Jets receivers beat them.

The Jets have turned their main strength (running)  into a weakness, they have lost some of their most important contributors at wide receiver and their running backs aren’t performing like they use to either.  Somehow none of this gets mentioned and the only person receiving the blame is Sanchez for not developing fast enough, or not playing at a level equal to last season.

Sanchez is just not a player who is going to carry a team, so unless surrounded with quality pieces he will always struggle.  I don’t know what the Jets are going to do to fix the offense but right now they aren’t a threat to beat any of the top teams because of it.

Back in Black: The Return of the Planet's Greatest Hockey Player

Sidney Crosby iPhone wallpaper © by xploitme

Twenty games into the NHL season, and donning the black sweater of the hometown Penguins, Crosby made his return. And what a return it was!

With his debut announced only 24 hours prior, you had to be living under a rock if you didn’t know that Sid the Kid would be hitting the ice Monday night. It was on the tip of everybody’s tongue, it was the main topic around the office, at the schoolyard, and highlighted on every major network across the country. How would he perform? Was there too much pressure? Is he coming back too early? Would he score? What is going to happen when he gets hit? Well, all of those questions and more would be answered during a special (weekday) presentation of Hockey Night In Canada on CBC. The CBC network only broadcasts games during the week in the playoffs, but for this game they would make an exception. And that had critics asking why? Lots of top players have come back late in the season after being hurt, what makes Crosby so special? I mean he’s a good player, but he’s no Gretzky or Lemieux, why does he get national television coverage for a meaningless Monday night game against a bad team?

Well, there are a ton of reasons. Lets start by saying; he IS the best player in the world, and it is a pleasure to watch him skate every time he is on the ice. He is also (still) the face of the NHL, and in some markets the game is still riding on his shoulders. Even more so with the disappearance of Ovechkin’s lovable swagger. In Canada, he is our best international weapon, and most likely the captain of our team heading to Russia in 2014. And then there’s the medical aspect. Lindros was the guy that brought the seriousness of concussions to the hockey world. And now Crosby is the guy that has brought the advancement of concussion treatment to the general public. As CBC had run a segment before the game showing stages of his treatment, the doctors involved, and really how knowledgeable they are about brain injuries these days. Also, years ago there was another Penguin (Mario Lemieux) that had a triumphant return to hockey after his initial retirement, and it was a huge success! But finally, every fan that simply loves the game of hockey was holding their breath with anticipation. Just hoping that we didn’t lose another of hockey’s greats way before his time. Just praying that he would be able to return to his elite level, and continue to captivate us with his skill, vision, and passion for the game. But if for some reason your still don’t think he is deserving, I guess he’ll just have to prove it to you, once again…

The atmosphere in the sold out Consol Energy Center was electric. And when the man of the hour stepped on the ice, it hit deafening decibels. With every fan in the building holding a “welcome back Sid!” sign. And every eyeball glued to number 87, it’s easy to say the pressure was on. Well Sidney is no stranger to pressure (2009 Stanley Cup, 2010 Olympics etc.) and this was no exception. He hit the ice for his first shift, and already had a swagger in his stride. Eager to make up for lost time, he was hard on the puck, and hungry to score. But how would he react to being hit for real, and not just a jostle in practice? That question was also answered quickly, as he was run hard into the end boards by the big Islanders defenseman Travis Hamonic. Sid bounced back on his feet no worse for wear. Ok, well Lemieux scored just 30 seconds into his comeback game, and finished with 3 points. Would Sidney be able to light the lamp? Well like I was saying, Crosby came out flying. No he wouldn’t score 30 seconds into the game, but 4 and a half minutes later he did. He took a pass up the middle from Dupuis, ripped by the defense with a burst of speed, and deposited the puck up and under the bar with a fierce back-hand. Pandemonium broke out in the building, and back on the ice, Crosby was jacked. He pumped his fists and let an f-bomb fly as he was swarmed by his teammates. The usually classy, and composed Crosby, apologized for letting one slip after the goal, but it just shows you the raw emotion he has for the game. And how fired up he was to be back. Oh, and he wasn’t done there… He added another goal and 2 assists, finishing with 4 points in the 5-0 rout. He came back on the ice with 30 seconds to go for a curtain call after the whole crowd was chanting his name. Crosby! Crosby! Crosby! It was truly his night.

After the game he was given the first star for his performance, but when asked about it, he simply said that he still had a lot to work on. He then went to retrieve the game puck, and not for his trophy case as you might assume. He gave it to Fleury for getting the shutout and winning the game. He is a consummate professional, a true team player, and at just 24 years of age, one of the best captains in the league.

So what’s next for the superstar? He proved he could take a hit, score goals, and still perform at an elite level. What’s next for Crosby? Well, if you ask him he’s just concentrating on his next game, and the teams next win. But this team was one of the leagues best without him. Is it possible we are going to see another cup in Pittsburgh? And what about the man himself? 4 points in 1 game, with 61 to go… Should Phil Kessel be looking over his shoulder? Can he continue to follow in Lemieux’s footsteps and win a scoring title after being out for so many games?

Well, regardless of what happens, two things are for certain; Crosby is back! And he means business!

…and that is the last word

Ten Things We Learned In College, Week 12

 

Golden Band from Tigerland © by cgallent

1. The SEC is, by far, the best football conference in the country. It’s hard to argue there’s a better conference when the SEC has the top 3 teams in the latest BCS rankings (a first in the 15-year history of the BCS) and 6 in the top 25.

2. Speaking of the SEC, winning the SEC West may be something of a booby prize. The reason? Say LSU beats Arkansas and finishes undefeated, while Alabama finishes with the one loss to LSU. The Tigers have to play Georgia in the SEC Championship while Bama sits at home. If LSU were to suffer a loss to the Dawgs, it’s possible they could drop to #3 in the BCS and Alabama and Arkansas could face off in the National Championship game (not to mention the inherent risk of injury that comes with playing an additional game). I don’t think that scenario is likely, but it’s certainly not impossible.

3. Clemson is a very good football team. They’re not an outstanding football team. Same goes for Virginia Tech.

4. Tough to know whether the sad week at Oklahoma State contributed to their loss. Hopefully they’ll rebound and give their school something to cheer about this week- they deserve it.

5. Speaking of off-field distractions, good on the Penn State players for bouncing back this week. I have no sympathy for the so-called adults in the athletic department, but the young men on the field had nothing to do with the Sandusky situation and yet it has to have been something of a distraction for them the last two weeks. Nice to see them get a W.

6. I’m currently reading a book about the Rich Rodriguez regime at Michigan (Three and Out, by John U. Bacon), and it’s served as a reminder of just how far the Wolverines have come even since last year, let alone since 2008. Good book and good story.

7. On the topic of Michigan, I’ll be disappointed if they don’t beat Ohio State this weekend. The Wolverines are the better team in all phases of the game, something that hasn’t been the case in a long time.

8. 9-2 USC is #10 in the AP Poll, and not ranked in the BCS Standings. 7-4 Auburn and  6-4 Texas are #24 and #25 in the BCS Standings, but not ranked in the AP Poll. Try explaining THAT to someone who doesn’t follow college football.

9. Provided that Houston wins out, it will be interesting to see which bowl game they get and where they’re ranked in relation to one-loss Boise State.

10. Just a reminder to check not only the times of games you want to catch this weekend, but also the days. Texas-Texas A&M is on Thursday and there are several on Friday afternoon and evening, including the #1 LSU-#3 Arkansas matchup. Happy Thanksgiving!

…and that is the last word.

Week 2: Coach K Hits 903 Wins


Coach K, after passing Bobby Knight for the NCAA Men's Basketball Division I coach wins, at 903 (and counting). (courtesy of goduke.com)

In case you missed it, Week 2 of the NCAA Division I Basketball season saw the crowning of a new all-time coaching wins leader: Mike Krzyzewski. At 903 (and counting), Coach K passed his mentor, Bobby Knight, for the most wins in Division I. He now stands alone atop the record books.

The Top 25 saw some shuffling, as a number of ranked teams added losses to their tournament resume. Some were inevitable (#3 Ohio State vs #7 Florida) and others were a tad out of character (#9 Pittsburgh losing to Long Beach State). The Top 5 (UNC, Kentucky, UConn, Ohio State and Syracuse) all remain undefeated.

Points of interest from Week 2:

  • Mike Krzyzewski passes Bobby Knight as the winningest coach in Division I Men’s Basketball. A full recap and dedicated article: Coach K Stands Alone.
  • Jim Boeheim, longtime Syracuse coach, has come out in defence of his assistant, Bernie Fine, in the midst of allegations that Fine molested two former ball boys. Have we not had enough of this, after the Penn State fiasco? If even a shred of evidence exists to charge Fine, the legacy of Boeheim will forever be tainted. ESPN has a full story here.
  • Freshmen Kevin Pangos, a guard with the Gonzaga Bulldogs, who hails from Newmarket, Ontario, tied a school record on Monday night with his 9 three-pointers.
  • Ohio State (#3) beat Florida (former #7, now #10) Tuesday night 81-74.
  • Kentucky wins a wild one over Kansas, 75-65, last Tuesday night.
  • Pittsburgh falls to Long Beach State, 86-76, Wednesday night. As a result, Pittsburgh has fallen from the Top 10; from #9 to ##.
  • Texas A&M (formerly #19, now #25), lost to Mississippi State on Thursday,  69-60.
  • Mississippi State followed up that win, with another over a Top 25 team, by beating the Arizona Wildcats (formerly #15, now #23) on Friday night. The Bulldogs, after two impressive wins, are rightfully ranked, sitting at #24.
  • Cincinnati (formerly #20, now NR), lost to Presbyterian on Saturday night, 56-54.

Games of note, Week 2:

  • Syracuse vs Virginia Tech, Wednesday night. Although Virginia Tech isn’t ranked, the Hokies have a tendency to play out-of-body when faced with a ranked opponent. They’ve done it for years against the likes of Duke and UNC, so I expect them to come out firing for #5 Syracuse.
  • Arizona vs San Diego State, Wednesday night. Although it’s likely too early to call it a “watershed moment”, Arizona needs this win after falling to Mississippi State last week. On the flip side, beating the Wildcats could go a long way to impressing the committee come March, for the 5-1 San Diego State Aztecs.
  • Mississippi State vs Louisiana Monroe (Monday) and Tennessee Martin (Friday). After impressive wins last week, the Bulldogs need to show that they are worthy of a new ranking and not just flashes in a pan. For good or bad, with a ranking comes the expectation of wins over lesser teams.
  • The Maui Invitational begins this week, as does a host of other pre-season tournaments. The Maui Invitational plays host to Duke, Kansas, Michigan, Georgetown, and UCLA, among others. An anticipated Duke/Kansas final could be a great game. The championship round tip-off is tonight (Monday), with the final going Wednesday night at 10PM EST.

Enjoy the week, see you all next Monday!

… and thats the last word.

UFC 139: Full of Surprises

There really isn’t much you can say about this card, other than “Ohhhh my!!!”

I went into this card with not really knowing what to expect. There were a lot of good potential fights, but not really one that I thought would be an outright show-stopper. A lot of the headlining fighters were of an older generation (i.e. Hendo, Silva, Le) and I wasn’t really sure they had they ability to compete at the top level of the game. I was wrong.

Watching Faber beat Bowles with relative ease was fun to watch.

Watching Wanderlei Silva rebound from near defeat to TKO Le in vintage “Axe Murderer-style” was fantastic.

However, watching the battle between Henderson and Shogun that can only be described as epic!

This fight was the definition of what makes MMA so much fun observe. Watching Henderson turn Shogun’s face into ground hamburger meat for the first three rounds, only to see Shogun come back in the last two rounds to almost beat Henderson was the stuff of legend. Yes, Henderson came out on top – but, no one really lost the fight at the end of the day. I can’t write out here in words why this fight was so amazing aside from what I’ve said above, I can only recommend you try to find it and watch it yourself. Without sounding to dramatic the best way I can articulate it is to say: that this was a ballet of the indomitable human will (from both fighters).

Despite what he says, Henderson v. Shogun was fight that Dana White wanted last week on FOX. This was the five round war, that had shades of Griffin v. Bonnar, that he wanted as the UFC’s handshake to the mass audience. What better way to educate people on the sport of MMA than to show them jaw dropping stand up and ground action that never stopped? I would really have loved to hear Dana White say after a fight such as this on mainstream TV that he was disappointed with the outcome. It’s not to say Dost Santos v. Velazsquez was a bad fight, this one was just that much better.

Just for the record, below are the results from last night event:

  1. Danny Castillo (W)                               Shamar Bailey (L)                 TKO (Punches)                        Rd1
  2. Seth Baczynski (W)                               Matt Brown (L)                      Submission                               Rd2
  3. Miguel Torres      (W)                            Nick Pace (L)                          Decision                                    Rd3
  4. Gleison Tibau (W)                                 Rafael dos Anjos (L)             Decision (Split)                       Rd3
  5. Chris Weidman (W)                              Tom Lawlor (L)                       Submission                              Rd1
  6. Michael McDonald (W)                       Alex Soto (L)                            KO                                              Rd1
  7. Ryan Bader (W)                                       Jason Brilz  (L)                       KO                                             Rd1
  8. Stephan Bonnar (W)                              Kyle Kingsbury (L)                Decision (Unanimous)        Rd3
  9. Martin Kampmann (W)                        Rick Story (L)                          Decision (Split)                      Rd3
  10. Urijah Faber (W)                                     Brian Bowles  (L)                   Submission                             Rd2
  11. Wanderlei Silva (W)                               Cung Le (L)                              TKO (Knees & Punches)     Rd2
  12. Dan Henderson (W)                               Mauricio Rua (L)                    Decision (Unanimous)       Rd5

… and that is the last word.

It's November 20th and the NHL's Top Team is…

Minnesota Wild v. Detroit Red Wings © by jpowers65

The Minnesota Wild!!

What a surprising start for a team that most experts had out of the playoffs this season. So what is going on in Minnesota?

Quietly, Mikko Koivu has become one of the most underrated players in the entire NHL. Not only has he become a superb offensive center, he is also one of the best shutdown centres in the game this year. He’s far and away the team MVP and leading the Wild to this great start. His line with wingers Dany Heatley and Devon Setogucchi has been nothing short of outstanding to start the year.

But thats not all; The Wild are also getting secondary scoring contributions from a unit of Cal Clutterbuck, Matt Cullen, and Pierre Marc-Bouchard.  Their third and fourth lines are playing solid hockey and chipping in the occasional goal as well.

On defence a makeshift unit that lost Brett Burns in the offseason; and now has Marek Zidlicky out injured is performing well above expectations. The Wild have always relied on a contribution from all 5 skaters on the ice in playing their defensive system, and this year is no different.

Lastly in Nick Backstrom and Josh Harding the Wild have very strong goaltending and they clean up any mistakes that might happen up front.

Will the Wild sustain this start? I really can’t see them finishing atop the NHL, or even atop their division… but with the way they are playing, they could continue to surprise and make many of the pre-season prognosticators including yours truly burn those predictions that saw them as a non-playoff team.

…and that is the last word.

Sidney Crosby to Return Tomorrow

Sidney Crosby © by jmd41280

10 and a half months after suffering concussions on hits by David Steckel and Victor Hedman, the best player in the NHL is set to make his return.  Sid and the Pens will be at home to the New York Islanders.

Will he be the same player he was before the injury? How can he not be tentative going into the corners?  How can he play with the same ferocity?  It seems as the though the Penguins did not rush him back, which is only going to be good in the long run.  We have learned what returning from a concussion too early can do – how many players have suffered multiple concussions only to have their career cut radically short?  Vote in our poll and have your say!  (go to home page, in left column)

Either way, Crosby coming back is good for the Penguins, great for the NHL, and fantastic for us, fans.  The Hockey world waits in anticipation.

…and that is the last word.

Brown's Week 11 NFL Picks

After a strong week 9, but an ugly week 10 the picks are in the plus column on the season.  This does not look like a strong week again this week so let’s just see if we can finish better than .500.

ATLANTA -6.5 over Tennessee – Seems like a lot of points for two 5-4 teams.  But it also seems like the perfect storm for Tennessee to lose.  They are coming off a big win but over a terrible opponent.  Atlanta is coming off a close divisional loss and should be itching to get back in the win column.  Factor in tha the Titans have to play in Atlanta’s loud dome and they should have problems pass protecting and definitely won’t be able to run the ball like they did the last week.  When you factor in how poorly Tennessee has done against decent teams all year-long I have to go with Atlanta.

Buffalo +3 over MIAMI – I understand Miami is playing a lot better now, and I think it is legitimate.   But they still were only able to grab wins over KC and Washington. The Redskins are in shambles and KC is the second worst team in the league right now.  Even if Miami does manage to outplay the Bills they are not a high scoring team so the Bills could still cover, or steal the game late.

BALTIMORE -7 over Cincy – Baltimore always struggles to move the ball on Cincy, and I expect that to continue.  But losing AJ Green is too big a loss for Cincy.  Now they are on the road against the best D in the league without their best player and a rookie QB.

Jacksonville +1 over CLEVELAND – Everyone is siding with Jacksonville here.  They are seeing MJD and a strong defense, what they aren’t seeing is how they pass for 120 yards or less every game.  Everyone being on J-ville makes me want to go the other way.  But I am not picking Cleveland again the rest of the year unless I am forced.

MINNESOTA -1 over Oakland – Carson Palmer played well last week, better than I ever expected he could.  And he still turned the ball over twice.  Now he is on the road against a good pass rush in a dome.  When Palmer was forced to move out of the pocket last week he looked old man slow, he is in his late Drew Bledsoe stage of his career at this point. Jared Allen could win this game by himself. Add in Peterson versus a poor run D and I am surprised at this line.

DETROIT -7 over Carolina – Tough line here.  I think Detroit needs a bounce back game and Carolina\s offense has not been clicking lately like early in the season.  You could even say they haven’t played a really good game since week 5.  Both teams have decent offenses but only one team has a really good D.

Tampa Bay +14 over GREEN BAY – Who knows, but 14 points doesn’t get covered very often.

Dallas -7 over WASHINGTON – Seems like a gift.  I would do anything to avoid Washington at this point and only having to cover a TD is fine by me.  Dallas is a power house, but like Baltimore you never know which Dallas will show up.

SAN FRAN – 10 over Arizona – Arizona has managed to keep most games close and San Fran only really has one blow out on their resume.  But I am tired of going against San Fran and losing, so if I lose this week so be it.  Arizona also historically struggles with San Fran’s powerful front 7 so I am ok with laying the big points.

Seattle +3 over St. LOUIS – The full 3 points here is a gift. You can never trust Seattle on the road but they are easily the better team.  I like the way their O-line has come together, if the injuries to the right side of the line don’t set them back this could be an easy victory for Seattle.

San Diego +4 over Chicago – Maybe I am just out smarting myself here but I don’t love the Bears and they have beat some bad teams lately which is propping up their standing in everyone’s minds.  The Chicago offense still really struggles to protect and to take a team like that to cover points is risky.  San Diego also comes off a loss 10 days ago.  They have extra rest and they know they need a win to stay in the division title hunt. I hate this game and I am only making a pick because I have to.

NEW YORK GIANTS -5.5 over Philly – With Vince Young starting I thought I would be all over the Giants here but I am not feeling great about it.  I still can’t see grabbing the Eagles at less than 7 points though.

NEW ENGLAND -15 over Kansas City – KC is missing their starting QB.  This team has now lost 3 of their top 4 players on offense this season.  They have four wins this season somehow but if you look back on it they seem to have gotten pretty lucky in some of those.  They have also lost their best defensive player.  Too many injuries.  Add it all up and to me you are looking at the second worst team in the league.  This is also the first time the Patriots will play the Chiefs since week one 2008.  Everyone should remember the significance of that game.  And everyone should know there is no way the Pats aren’t going to punish the Chiefs for that one.

This Week: 0 – 1

Last Week: 6 – 9

Season: 36 – 35 – 4

When the Wheels Fall Off

“Form an orderly line!”
People are getting hurt they’re jumping off of the Leafs bandwagon so fast! And then there are the diehards. Who are still waiting for their “savior” (Reimer) to come back, right the ship, and take them to the promise land!

People; get off the wagon, get off the ship, and get off the pot! This is the same mediocre, (hopefully) 8th place team that we started the season with. Yes, they have had a spectacular start to the season. Mostly due to favorable scheduling, but a great start none the less. So far they have exceeded expectation. But, unfortunately the run has ended, as all runs due. And now its time to go back to grinding out games, and hopefully winning three out of every five to finish with enough points to sneak into the playoffs.

Don’t get me wrong, the Leafs do have some offensive talent. I was the first one to say Kessel will score 40 this year. But he’s not going to score 60. And he can’t carry this team. Lupul’s been good, and the secondary scoring is decent, but decent isn’t good enough. And now 2/3 of the second line is injured. Who’s going to fill that gap?

And then there’s the ever-elusive first line centre… So far, “Band-aid solution” Tim Connolly hasn’t been very productive. Not only that, but he’s only appeared in 7 games! The Leafs don’t mind coddling Connolly because they think he his a legitimate first line pivot. But I strongly disagree. And this, “maybe I’m hurt, maybe I’m not” crap, wouldn’t fly with me. I need a guy I can count on. Every time he got hurt I would be sending him to the minors for lengthy conditioning stints. And I would also find myself asking, is Colbourne close to ready?

On the back end there has been some surprises, and there has been some disappointments. Phaneuf is really taking to the captaincy role, and is digging deep to contribute at both ends of the ice. Liles (JML) has really assimilated well in Toronto, and the stats sheet mirror his efforts. Gunnarsson has been solid, and consistent. And so has rookie Jake Gardiner, although he is a minus six. A lot of people have been impressed with Mike Komisarek’s game, but I’m not quite convinced, and I’d like to see a little more before I offer my opinion. Although I will concede that he has a defense leading plus 3 right now. The guys that have been disappointing so far are Schenn, and Franson. They are minus 4 and minus 5 respectively. Schenn is supposed to be the Leafs best defenseman (maybe behind Phaneuf), and right now he’s probably the worst. He needs to get back to that elite level if the Leafs are ever going to be a contender. Franson, well I feel Franson hasn’t really been given a fair shake in Toronto. He got off on the wrong foot with coach Wilson, and for that has seen a revolving door of defense partners, and the inside of press boxes around the league.

I think Wilson needs to suck up his pride here and cultivate this young talent, well actually I don’t think that is Wilson’s forte, but he should at least be making the effort. This is a kid with a ton of skill, played last year as a top-four guy on a pretty good defensive team in the Nashville Predators, went deep into the playoffs, and grew up idolizing the Leafs.

The worst part about the D though, is they are again, at the bottom of the league in penalty killing percentage (29th). This is year after year, folks. And with the talent, and potential of talent they have on the blue line, it is unacceptable! For this reason alone I think Wilson isn’t the guy.

In goal it’s a different story. James Reimer was lights out (still hasn’t lost in regulation) before he got sidelined with a concussion from a dirty hit to the head. Rookie Ben Scrivens was tapped on the shoulder, and responded by posting a 2-3-1 record, with a 2.95 GAA, and a .899 SV% over 6 game. Which I think is excellent for a rookie that was thrown in to help a mediocre team, un-expectantly. But Toronto fans are out for blood. Come on guys, this kid still has a future, lets not ruin it yet. But before Scrivens got the tap, the onus fell to Jonas. And Gustavsson was his usual .500 self, going exactly 4 and 4 over 8 games. That’s not a shock to me. He’s a decent goalie, but not a great one. Maybe there still is some hidden potential there, but so far, after 3 years, I’m not seeing it. Well, I guess the Leafs brass is skeptical too if they are currently shopping for a steward for Reimer. Which I don’t mind, grab a guy like Turco for a 1 year, league minimum contract, send Scrivens down, which is a must, trade Gustavsson, and wait for Reimer to return. But I only like this if Gustavsson is traded. If you want to hang on to him because you still see potential, that’s fine, but then he should be playing, and there shouldn’t be any shopping. If you can’t count on him to step up for a few games when he’s needed, then why do you have him?

So in summation, no more delusions of grandeur! This team, and its fans, need to work together, and concentrate on the task at hand. Which means stop “planning the parade”, stop chirping other teams, and stop writing Kessel’s MVP speech. But it also means, don’t get down on your team when they lose a couple, it’s going to happen. And stop throwing the players, especially the young goalies under the bus (Wilson will do enough of that for everybody). This is the point in the season where the team is going to need your positive support the most. They are trying to pull out of a small tailspin before it turns into a big nosedive down the standings. And it’s hard enough with the adversity they are facing, having 7 of their starters out with injury (Reimer, McArthur, Grabovski, Lombardi, Armstrong, Brown, Komisarek), including their starting goalie. They don’t need the negativity from the fans and the media too. It’s going to take a lot of heart and determination to weather this storm. And they could sure use the rally and support of Leafs Nation to help them through it. And it all starts with you!

…and that’s the last word.