Sports. Honestly. Since 2011

Sunday's NFL Wildcard Match-ups

SUNDAY 4:30pm  PITTSBURGH @ DENVER +9
After all that talk about powerhouse teams, how can I seriously analyze this match-up?  I can’t, so let’s just state our best case for each team and see if we can find any areas where Denver could gain some ground:
Why Denver will win:

Tebow coasted into the playoffs after securing the top spot in the division. He wasn’t at his best because he didn’t have to be, just like in individual games.

The KC from week 17 (7-3 loss) game may look bad but Romeo Crennell is really good at devising defensive plans to hold down certain teams. And KC, having played Denver once already (and watching the Patriots play them) had their number.

Pittsburgh is a banged up offense.  They aren’t the same without Roethilisberger (Burger) running around outside the pocket, he is what makes the Pitt offense go.  Now their lead back is out.  With Hines Ward not contributing much it is basically Wallace and Brown for the Steelers and thats it.  If Champ can limit one of them then they should be able to live with just the other guy beating them.

Denver is @ home where they wear defenses down with the running attack and the Steelers are an old defense primed to wear down.  The Mile High air will get to them, it has already gotten to Ryan Clark who won’t play in the game because of health concerns.  Clark is the Steelers surest tackler in the secondary, without him they could have some troubles against the run.

Chuck Norris is a Bronco fan.

The Denver pass rush is going to eat the Steelers oline for lunch.  Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil are hard to block for anyone, no way the Steelers line and a banged up Burger are going to escape them.

Playoff time is Tebow Time.

 

Why Pittsburgh will win:

This is child’s play for Pittsburgh. Denver is not even good, just look at who they beat: Miami, Oakland, KC, Jets, San Diego, Minnesota, Chicago – these 7 wins coming in an 8-week stretch.

Burger will be four weeks removed from his injury by game time.  Practically an eternity for the indestructible man.

Pittsburgh made the Super Bowl last year and lost to far and away the best team in the league. Plus if you remove the two Baltimore losses, Pittsburgh only lost to Houston(with Schaub) and San Fran, both playoff teams. Denver had to rely on six straight comeback wins to just go 8-8.

Losing Mendenhall isn’t good, but it’s not like it is a massive drop off to Dwyer or Redman.  Pittsburgh is a passing team now anyways.

There is just no way any Steelers defense is going to lose a game to a run-only offense helmed by a QB that can’t throw.

The Denver D looked good for a couple of weeks but where has it been lately? They are just frauds who got lucky against some bad QB’s.

Hines Ward decaying, or um, retiring, will provide inspiration for another road warrior Superbowl run, like in 2005 with the Bus.

John Fox has been way too conservative in his decision-making down the stretch.  He has punted on 4th and short and in opponent territory several times.  Isn’t this team uniquely designed to be able to pick up 1 yard when they need to?

The final verdict?  The only way I can see the Steelers losing this game is if Burger is really a shell of the player he actually is.  Pittsburgh is a veteran team that can win lots of ways.  Without the QB injury they are probably best team in the AFC.  The Broncos on the other hand just aren’t good.  They never beat anyone good and couldn’t win when they needed to down the stretch.  Steelers win.  But the spread is another story.

Check out these results: 23-20 Colts, 32-30 Cards, 24-17 Bengals, 13-9 Chiefs, 13-9 Browns. Those are the scores of the Steelers road victories.  They only went 5-3 all year on the road, losing to every good team they faced.  Out of all those games they won by more than 9 points just once, early in the season is pass friendly Arizona.  All those good points for Denver were not enough to convince me that they could win but can they keep this one close? I think so.  Pittsburgh rarely blows teams off the field and they are the master of letting teams hang around and yet still feeling totally in control of the game.  With the injury to Burger I don’t see the Steelers scoring many points and despite what some people think Denver will get a few.  For the sake of the playoffs I am going to get hyper specific on you:

Steelers 17, Broncos 9 – With the likely highlight being Denver settling for a 4th quarter FG in Steelers territory despite everyone in the world knowing they are cooked if they don’t finish that drive with a TD, John Fox will be unwavering.

 

Serie A Review, and Preview of Week 17

REVIEW OF THE SERIE A TABLE

Happy New Year to all of the soccer lovers out there! Now that the Holiday season has come to an end, it’s back to business as usual in the Serie A. A quick rundown of the standings will give the impression how tight and interesting the second half of the season will be. AC Milan and Juventus FC ended 2011 tied for first place with 34 points. It seems that these two teams will be renewing their championship battle as it was in the 1990s. Udinese Calcio sits closely behind the joint leaders in third place with 32 points which is surprising considering the club sold key players (Inler and Sanchez) and fell short of Champions League action losing to Arsenal in the qualifying round.  SS Lazio are following the bianconeri of Udine with 30 points, while Internazionale FC seem to be making an astonishing climb up the table currently placed fifth with 26 points.

PREVIEW OF WEEK 17

This week, Parma FC travels to Milan to face the Nerazzurri. The Inter players will be eager to show their optimism about 2012. Captain Javier Zanetti claims this year will be the year of Inter. Personally, I think he has to give his head a shake. US Città di Palermo is at home against SSC Napoli. The rosaneri Sicilians have two new weapons to release today: firstly, Swedish striker Agon Mehemti, who many are comparing to Zlatan Ibrahimovic; lastly, Argentine playmaker Franco Vasquez. Palermo is hoping these two players can help turn their season around. Napoli was also active on the transfer market acquiring the services of Chilean Forward Eduardo Vargas. The bianconeri of Udine will host the bianconeri seahorses Cesena. Udinese will aim to do what no small organization has ever done before and that is keep pace with the GIANTS of Italy: Juventus FC and AC Milan. The Friulani are the favourites for the 3 points. US Lecce will take on The Old Lady of Italian Football at the Stadio Del Mare in Lecce. Bianconeri Boss Antonio Conte returns to his place of birth and will strive to maintain the Juve’s first place status. The derby of Lombardia will take place this weekend with the nerazzurri of Atalanta hosting AC Milan this weekend in Bergamo. This will be a tough matchup for both teams.  The Rossoneri ended 2011 on a high beating Cagliari 2-0 on their travels. The Diavoli are currently one of the hottest teams in the Italian Championship. Atalanta is still undefeated at home and will provide a battle as the Bergamaschi are no push-overs. Milan has a history of struggle against their cross-region rivals Atalanta. Rossoneri coach Massimiliano Allegri planned to rest Kevin Prince Boateng ahead of the week 18 clash in the Derby della Madonnina with Inter, but may now opt to field the Ghanian international due to injury concerns to the midfield. Alberto Aquliani is out with an ankle injury. Speaking of next week’s derby showdown between the 2 Giants of Milan, there also seems to be a derby taking place in the transfer market as both clubs have targeted Carlos Tevez as reinforcement. The Argentine striker has agreed to personal terms with AC Milan and prefers to play for the Rossoneri who has offered to take the player on loan with an option to buy at the end of the season. However, Inter has established an agreement with Manchester City in order to buy the player outright in the January transfer window. Manchester prefers to sell Tevez as quickly as possible. What a battle this will be!

SERIE A 2011-12

LATEST
Week 17 08 Jan 2012 (14.00 UK)
Atalanta Preview Milan
Bologna Preview Catania
Cagliari Preview Genoa
Inter Preview Parma(Sat 19.45)
Lecce Preview Juventus
Novara Preview Fiorentina
Palermo Preview Napoli(19.45)
Roma Preview Chievo
Siena 4 – 0 Lazio(Sat 17.00)
Udinese Preview Cesena(11.30)
FIXTURES
Week 18 15 Jan 2012
Catania Roma
Cesena Novara
Chievo Palermo
Fiorentina Lecce
Genoa Udinese
Juventus Cagliari
Lazio Atalanta
Milan Inter
Napoli Bologna
Parma Siena